All Model Picks
Net profit+16.23 units
Return on stake+8.9%
- Settled bets
- 183
- Wins – losses
- 112–71
- Awaiting results
- 0
Model transparency
Model betting performance
Simulated betting performance · Regular-season full-game moneylines · 1 unit risked per bet
Prices reflect simulated line shopping across captured sportsbooks. These are hypothetical results, not placed bets.
Value Picks
Net profit+0.56 units
Return on stake+0.3%
- Settled bets
- 166
- Wins – losses
- 77–89
- Awaiting results
- 0
Market Favourite
Net profit+6.68 units
Return on stake+3.6%
- Settled bets
- 183
- Wins – losses
- 114–69
- Awaiting results
- 0
How profit changes over time
Above zero means a profit; below zero means a loss. Each line tracks one strategy using a fixed one-unit stake per bet.
Chart unavailable. Strategy totals are shown above and individual results below.
Which games are included?
183 eligible games of 184 started games. 183 completed; 0 awaiting final results. 1160 future games are not included.
Excluded games
- Missing event: 0
- Ambiguous event: 0
- Invalid event mapping: 0
- Missing pregame odds: 0
- Invalid or unpaired odds: 0
- Missing pregame prediction: 1
- Invalid prediction: 0
Game history532 strategy entries
| Date / game | Strategy / pick | Model % / EV | Odds / book | Captured (CT) | Result | Net units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Vancouver Canucks | 49.2% 33.3% EV | +171 BetOnline.ag | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model Picks Minnesota Wild | 50.8% -22.4% EV | -190 BetRivers | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.53 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteMinnesota Wild | 50.8% -22.4% EV | -190 BetRivers | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.53 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Nashville Predators | 41.6% 24.9% EV | +200 Bovada | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 2.00 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model Picks Colorado Avalanche | 58.4% -15.7% EV | -225 BetOnline.ag | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteColorado Avalanche | 58.4% -15.7% EV | -225 BetOnline.ag | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Montréal Canadiens | 60.7% 12.1% EV | -118 FanDuel | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.85 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model PicksMontréal Canadiens | 60.7% 12.1% EV | -118 FanDuel | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.85 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteMontréal Canadiens | 60.7% 12.1% EV | -118 FanDuel | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.85 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks New York Islanders | 39.5% 5.1% EV | +166 BetOnline.ag | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model Picks Dallas Stars | 60.5% -6.6% EV | -184 MyBookie.ag | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.54 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteDallas Stars | 60.5% -6.6% EV | -184 MyBookie.ag | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.54 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Chicago Blackhawks | 52.1% 38.0% EV | +165 BetRivers | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model PicksChicago Blackhawks | 52.1% 38.0% EV | +165 BetRivers | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 25, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market Favourite Florida Panthers | 47.9% -25.4% EV | -180 DraftKings | Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.56 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Seattle Kraken | 60.0% 41.0% EV | +135 BetMGM | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model PicksSeattle Kraken | 60.0% 41.0% EV | +135 BetMGM | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteMinnesota Wild | 40.0% -33.9% EV | -153 BetOnline.ag | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.65 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Calgary Flames | 49.9% 13.7% EV | +128 BetOnline.ag | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 1.28 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model Picks Detroit Red Wings | 50.1% -15.3% EV | -145 BetMGM | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteDetroit Red Wings | 50.1% -15.3% EV | -145 BetMGM | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Utah Mammoth | 63.3% 8.5% EV | -140 BetUS | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.71 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model PicksUtah Mammoth | 63.3% 8.5% EV | -140 BetUS | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.71 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteUtah Mammoth | 63.3% 8.5% EV | -140 BetUS | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.71 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Toronto Maple Leafs | 50.0% 27.5% EV | +155 BetRivers | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 1.55 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model PicksToronto Maple Leafs | 50.0% 27.5% EV | +155 BetRivers | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 1.55 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market Favourite Edmonton Oilers | 50.0% -21.4% EV | -175 BetOnline.ag | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks St. Louis Blues | 44.8% 5.8% EV | +136 BetOnline.ag | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model Picks Carolina Hurricanes | 55.2% -8.1% EV | -150 BetMGM | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.67 |
| Oct 24, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteCarolina Hurricanes | 55.2% -8.1% EV | -150 BetMGM | Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.67 |
Oct 25, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Value Picks
Vancouver Canucks
- Model / EV
- 49.2% / 33.3%
- Odds / book
- +171 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Won · 0.53u
All Model Picks
Minnesota Wild
- Model / EV
- 50.8% / -22.4%
- Odds / book
- -190 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Won · 0.53u
Market Favourite
Minnesota Wild
- Model / EV
- 50.8% / -22.4%
- Odds / book
- -190 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Won · 2.00u
Value Picks
Nashville Predators
- Model / EV
- 41.6% / 24.9%
- Odds / book
- +200 · Bovada
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Lost · -1.00u
All Model Picks
Colorado Avalanche
- Model / EV
- 58.4% / -15.7%
- Odds / book
- -225 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Market Favourite
Colorado Avalanche
- Model / EV
- 58.4% / -15.7%
- Odds / book
- -225 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Won · 0.85u
Value Picks
Montréal Canadiens
- Model / EV
- 60.7% / 12.1%
- Odds / book
- -118 · FanDuel
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Won · 0.85u
All Model Picks
Montréal Canadiens
- Model / EV
- 60.7% / 12.1%
- Odds / book
- -118 · FanDuel
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Won · 0.85u
Market Favourite
Montréal Canadiens
- Model / EV
- 60.7% / 12.1%
- Odds / book
- -118 · FanDuel
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Value Picks
New York Islanders
- Model / EV
- 39.5% / 5.1%
- Odds / book
- +166 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Won · 0.54u
All Model Picks
Dallas Stars
- Model / EV
- 60.5% / -6.6%
- Odds / book
- -184 · MyBookie.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Won · 0.54u
Market Favourite
Dallas Stars
- Model / EV
- 60.5% / -6.6%
- Odds / book
- -184 · MyBookie.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Value Picks
Chicago Blackhawks
- Model / EV
- 52.1% / 38.0%
- Odds / book
- +165 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Lost · -1.00u
All Model Picks
Chicago Blackhawks
- Model / EV
- 52.1% / 38.0%
- Odds / book
- +165 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 25, 2026Won · 0.56u
Market Favourite
Florida Panthers
- Model / EV
- 47.9% / -25.4%
- Odds / book
- -180 · DraftKings
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 25, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Value Picks
Seattle Kraken
- Model / EV
- 60.0% / 41.0%
- Odds / book
- +135 · BetMGM
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Lost · -1.00u
All Model Picks
Seattle Kraken
- Model / EV
- 60.0% / 41.0%
- Odds / book
- +135 · BetMGM
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Won · 0.65u
Market Favourite
Minnesota Wild
- Model / EV
- 40.0% / -33.9%
- Odds / book
- -153 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Won · 1.28u
Value Picks
Calgary Flames
- Model / EV
- 49.9% / 13.7%
- Odds / book
- +128 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Lost · -1.00u
All Model Picks
Detroit Red Wings
- Model / EV
- 50.1% / -15.3%
- Odds / book
- -145 · BetMGM
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Market Favourite
Detroit Red Wings
- Model / EV
- 50.1% / -15.3%
- Odds / book
- -145 · BetMGM
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Won · 0.71u
Value Picks
Utah Mammoth
- Model / EV
- 63.3% / 8.5%
- Odds / book
- -140 · BetUS
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Won · 0.71u
All Model Picks
Utah Mammoth
- Model / EV
- 63.3% / 8.5%
- Odds / book
- -140 · BetUS
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Won · 0.71u
Market Favourite
Utah Mammoth
- Model / EV
- 63.3% / 8.5%
- Odds / book
- -140 · BetUS
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Won · 1.55u
Value Picks
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Model / EV
- 50.0% / 27.5%
- Odds / book
- +155 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Won · 1.55u
All Model Picks
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Model / EV
- 50.0% / 27.5%
- Odds / book
- +155 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Market Favourite
Edmonton Oilers
- Model / EV
- 50.0% / -21.4%
- Odds / book
- -175 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Value Picks
St. Louis Blues
- Model / EV
- 44.8% / 5.8%
- Odds / book
- +136 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Won · 0.67u
All Model Picks
Carolina Hurricanes
- Model / EV
- 55.2% / -8.1%
- Odds / book
- -150 · BetMGM
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 24, 2026Won · 0.67u
Market Favourite
Carolina Hurricanes
- Model / EV
- 55.2% / -8.1%
- Odds / book
- -150 · BetMGM
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 24, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Betting performance by team
Results for bets backing the selected team, using one-unit stakes.
Toronto Maple Leafs
All Model Picks
Net profit+1.65 units
Return on stake+23.6%
- Settled bets
- 7
- Wins – losses
- 4–3
- Awaiting results
- 0
Value Picks
Net profit+4.60 units
Return on stake+65.8%
- Settled bets
- 7
- Wins – losses
- 5–2
- Awaiting results
- 0
Market Favourite
Net profit-1.55 units
Return on stake-31.0%
- Settled bets
- 5
- Wins – losses
- 2–3
- Awaiting results
- 0
Cumulative units backing this team
What do units and ROI mean?
One unit is a fixed amount you choose, such as $10. Every simulated bet risks that same amount. A net result of +3 units would mean a $30 profit with $10 units.
ROI compares profit with the amount staked. Winning 5 units after staking 100 units gives a 5% ROI. Picking more winners does not always mean more profit: the odds paid on those wins matter.
All Model Picks backs the model's predicted winner. Value Picks only bets when the model estimates a positive return at the captured price. Market Favourite backs the side the sportsbooks rate more likely to win. Different strategies can place different numbers of bets, so check the settled count alongside ROI.
Technical methodology and exclusions
Each simulated bet risks one fixed unit. A win earns decimal odds minus one; a loss costs one unit. ROI equals net units divided by settled units risked. No compounding or variable stakes.
All Model Picks backs the predicted winner. Value Picks backs the higher estimated EV side only when EV is above zero; exact EV ties are skipped. Market Favourite uses the average no-vig home win probability across sportsbooks quoting both teams, then takes that side's best captured price. Tied market probabilities are skipped.
All strategies share the same eligible game pool. Prices come from the latest captured full-game moneyline batch strictly before the scheduled start, using the earlier start if event times differ. Best odds are chosen only within that batch, never from later or mixed captures. Predictions normally must have been published by that capture time. A fixed set of completed 2026-27 games is included retrospectively after testing and fixes overwrote timestamps; individual history entries identify these revisions. Captured prices may not represent actual closing odds or prices available to every bettor.
Only final results with a recorded REG, OT or SO outcome settle bets. Missing results remain pending. Ambiguous event mappings, invalid odds, unpaired markets and unavailable pregame predictions are excluded. Legacy predictions use existing timestamps; earlier overwritten revisions are not invented. The selected season starts at 2026-27.