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Minnesota Wild vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 24, 2026

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 24, 2026.

October 24, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Minnesota Wild

8-3-2

5
Final
Home

Seattle Kraken

7-4-1

1 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 60.0% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Minnesota Wild logo
Away team

Minnesota Wild

40.0%
Fair American +150
Fair decimal 2.5
Best market -153 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 60.5%
Edge -20.5%
Expected value -33.9%
Calculate value
Seattle Kraken logo
Home team

Seattle Kraken

60.0%
Fair American -150
Fair decimal 1.67
Best market +135 · BetMGM
Market implied 42.6%
Edge +17.4%
Expected value +41.0%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 24, 2026.

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Bets
4
Record
4-0
Net units
3.88
ROI
97.1%

Value Picks

Bets
9
Record
5-4
Net units
2.57
ROI
28.5%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.59
ROI
79.6%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

108:25 together · 10 games

xG share70.1%
Corsi for / against
136 / 69
Fenwick for / against
102 / 51
Corsi share
66.3%
Fenwick share
66.7%
xG for / against
8.18 / 3.49
Defense pair

93:47 together · 10 games

xG share66.8%
Corsi for / against
119 / 64
Fenwick for / against
92 / 44
Corsi share
65.0%
Fenwick share
67.6%
xG for / against
7.28 / 3.61
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

155:51 together · 10 games

xG share38.4%
Corsi for / against
115 / 223
Fenwick for / against
81 / 160
Corsi share
34.0%
Fenwick share
33.6%
xG for / against
5.30 / 8.51
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Minnesota Wild

Jesper Wallstedt 73.3%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jesper Wallstedt?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.799
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.420
Consecutive starts
-0.302
Started last game
-0.260
Goalie win pct before
+0.158
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 24, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Seattle Kraken

Philipp Grubauer 63.3%
Other eligible goalies

Why Philipp Grubauer?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.536
Team win pct before
-0.399
Started last game
-0.305
Won previous appearance
+0.251
Goalie team start share
+0.173
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 24, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
118
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
32.2

Philipp Grubauer

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
161
Save %
90.7
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
27.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.37
xG against / game
3.09
xG differential / game
0.28

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.69
xG against / game
3.50
xG differential / game
-0.80

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.0
Corsi share (%)
52.6
Fenwick share (%)
54.2
Faceoff win %
53.0
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 30.7 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.1
Corsi share (%)
42.2
Fenwick share (%)
43.7
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 25.8 · Shooting: 14.0% · Avg distance: 34.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
18Points15
0.692Points %0.625
41Goals for45
30Goals against42
11Goal differential3
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
9Games5
4Wins3
10Points6
4Goal differential0
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
6-3-1Record6-3-1
13Points13
32Goals for38
25Goals against38
7Goal differential0
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 2 wins
Total goals40 – 20
Goal differential +20 / -20
Goals per game4.0 / 2.0
Shots per game27.9 / 30.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 7, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 5 27 - 29 View
Jan 8, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 2 34 - 28 View
Dec 8, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 1 29 - 24 View
Mar 19, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
0 - 4 34 - 28 View
Mar 4, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 3 20 - 36 View
Oct 12, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
5 - 4 34 - 38 View
Apr 18, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 3 27 - 24 View
Feb 24, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 2 31 - 32 View
Dec 10, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 0 26 - 24 View
Mar 27, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 5 36 - 20 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings MIN SEA