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Minnesota Wild vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 25, 2026

NHL matchup

Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 25, 2026.

October 25, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Minnesota Wild

8-3-2

4 Model pick
Final
Home

Vancouver Canucks

2-10-1

2
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 50.8% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Minnesota Wild logo
Away team

Minnesota Wild

50.8%
Fair American -103
Fair decimal 1.97
Best market -190 · BetRivers
Market implied 65.5%
Edge -14.7%
Expected value -22.5%
Calculate value
Vancouver Canucks logo
Home team

Vancouver Canucks

49.2%
Fair American +103
Fair decimal 2.03
Best market +171 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 36.9%
Edge +12.3%
Expected value +33.3%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 25, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

116:51 together · 10 games

xG share72.0%
Corsi for / against
149 / 72
Fenwick for / against
113 / 54
Corsi share
67.4%
Fenwick share
67.7%
xG for / against
9.52 / 3.70
Defense pair

95:58 together · 10 games

xG share66.8%
Corsi for / against
121 / 66
Fenwick for / against
93 / 45
Corsi share
64.7%
Fenwick share
67.4%
xG for / against
7.32 / 3.63
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

92:27 together · 9 games

xG share41.4%
Corsi for / against
59 / 106
Fenwick for / against
44 / 72
Corsi share
35.8%
Fenwick share
37.9%
xG for / against
3.34 / 4.73
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Minnesota Wild

Calvin Pickard 94.3%
Other eligible goalies

Why Calvin Pickard?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team played yesterday
+1.625
Days since last start
+0.593
Goalie team start share
-0.433
Started last game
+0.387
Prev save pct
-0.272
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 25, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Vancouver Canucks

Leevi Meriläinen 68.2%
Other eligible goalies

Why Leevi Meriläinen?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team win pct before
+0.595
Won previous appearance
-0.229
Started last game
+0.224
Goalie win pct before
-0.197
Prev save pct
-0.193
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 25, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
119
Save %
89.9
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
31.1

Kevin Lankinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
80.4
Goals allowed
22
Close-range shots %
34.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.62
xG against / game
3.02
xG differential / game
0.60

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.26
xG against / game
4.00
xG differential / game
-1.74

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.1
Corsi share (%)
53.5
Fenwick share (%)
55.5
Faceoff win %
51.1
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 31.3 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
45.7
Corsi share (%)
41.6
Fenwick share (%)
40.2
Faceoff win %
46.9
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 19.6 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
18Points5
0.692Points %0.192
41Goals for37
30Goals against60
11Goal differential-23
W2Current streakL4
Road versus home
Minnesota Wild MIN road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
9Games6
4Wins1
10Points2
4Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Minnesota Wild MIN
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
6-3-1Record0-9-1
13Points1
32Goals for20
25Goals against45
7Goal differential-25
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Minnesota Wild MIN 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 3 wins
Total goals33 – 26
Goal differential +7 / -7
Goals per game3.3 / 2.6
Shots per game31.7 / 24.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 2, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 5 32 - 39 View
Dec 6, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 4 30 - 20 View
Nov 1, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 5 28 - 28 View
Apr 12, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 33 - 14 View
Mar 7, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 3 38 - 20 View
Dec 3, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 3 32 - 29 View
Feb 19, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
7 - 10 24 - 27 View
Dec 16, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 2 36 - 31 View
Dec 7, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
0 - 2 26 - 17 View
Mar 2, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 1 36 - 22 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings MIN VAN