Skip to content

Carolina Hurricanes vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 24, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 24, 2026.

October 24, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Carolina Hurricanes

10-2-2

4 Model pick
Final
Home

St. Louis Blues

5-6-1

0
Model V2 pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 55.2% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Carolina Hurricanes logo
Away team

Carolina Hurricanes

55.2%
Fair American -123
Fair decimal 1.81
Best market -150 · BetMGM
Market implied 60.0%
Edge -4.8%
Expected value -8.0%
Calculate value
St. Louis Blues logo
Home team

St. Louis Blues

44.8%
Fair American +123
Fair decimal 2.23
Best market +136 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 42.4%
Edge +2.4%
Expected value +5.7%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 24, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

161:27 together · 10 games

xG share57.8%
Corsi for / against
175 / 120
Fenwick for / against
127 / 89
Corsi share
59.3%
Fenwick share
58.8%
xG for / against
7.99 / 5.83
All observed combinations

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

109:12 together · 10 games

xG share50.6%
Corsi for / against
93 / 88
Fenwick for / against
65 / 73
Corsi share
51.4%
Fenwick share
47.1%
xG for / against
5.25 / 5.12
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Carolina Hurricanes

Pyotr Kochetkov 90.4%
Other eligible goalies

Why Pyotr Kochetkov?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Prev save pct
-0.409
Goalie win pct before
+0.408
Started last game
+0.361
Won previous appearance
+0.289
Team win pct before
-0.263
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 24, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

St. Louis Blues

Joel Hofer 87.3%
Other eligible goalies

Why Joel Hofer?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.608
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.478
Started last game
-0.275
Won previous appearance
+0.257
Prev save pct
+0.182
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 24, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Brandon Bussi

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
85.2
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
35.9

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
145
Save %
91.0
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
34.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
4.02
xG against / game
2.47
xG differential / game
1.55

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.96
xG against / game
2.73
xG differential / game
0.23

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
69.6
Corsi share (%)
60.3
Fenwick share (%)
61.3
Faceoff win %
49.8
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 35.4 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.5
Corsi share (%)
49.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 13.1% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
22Points11
0.786Points %0.458
53Goals for35
34Goals against37
19Goal differential-2
W2Current streakL2
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
9Games6
7Wins3
15Points7
15Goal differential0
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
8-1-1Record4-5-1
17Points9
42Goals for30
22Goals against31
20Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 4 wins
Total goals34 – 24
Goal differential +10 / -10
Goals per game3.4 / 2.4
Shots per game32.5 / 27.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 12, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 1 17 - 32 View
Jan 13, 2026
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
0 - 3 33 - 31 View
Nov 17, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 4 30 - 24 View
Oct 19, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 4 40 - 19 View
Apr 12, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 2 42 - 31 View
Jan 6, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 1 22 - 30 View
Feb 21, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 4 36 - 36 View
Dec 1, 2022
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
6 - 4 36 - 26 View
Mar 26, 2022
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
7 - 2 28 - 32 View
Nov 13, 2021
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 3 29 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CAR STL