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Florida Panthers vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 25, 2026

NHL matchup

Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 25, 2026.

October 25, 2026 · 2:00 PM CST
Away

Florida Panthers

6-4-2

3
Final
Home

Chicago Blackhawks

3-8-0

2 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Chicago Blackhawks at 52.1% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Florida Panthers logo
Away team

Florida Panthers

47.9%
Fair American +109
Fair decimal 2.09
Best market -180 · DraftKings
Market implied 64.3%
Edge -16.4%
Expected value -25.5%
Calculate value
Chicago Blackhawks logo
Home team

Chicago Blackhawks

52.1%
Fair American -109
Fair decimal 1.92
Best market +165 · BetRivers
Market implied 37.7%
Edge +14.4%
Expected value +38.1%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 25, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

129:39 together · 10 games

xG share54.3%
Corsi for / against
131 / 94
Fenwick for / against
93 / 76
Corsi share
58.2%
Fenwick share
55.0%
xG for / against
4.59 / 3.87
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

81:50 together · 10 games

xG share53.0%
Corsi for / against
58 / 65
Fenwick for / against
47 / 49
Corsi share
47.2%
Fenwick share
49.0%
xG for / against
3.54 / 3.14
Defense pair

101:43 together · 10 games

xG share39.3%
Corsi for / against
54 / 93
Fenwick for / against
43 / 69
Corsi share
36.7%
Fenwick share
38.4%
xG for / against
2.80 / 4.33
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Florida Panthers

Jacob Markstrom 70.0%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jacob Markstrom?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.626
Won previous appearance
+0.267
Started last game
-0.226
Prev save pct
-0.222
Days since last start
+0.192
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 25, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Chicago Blackhawks

Spencer Knight 76.5%
Other eligible goalies

Why Spencer Knight?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.548
Goalie team start share
+0.492
Team win pct before
+0.300
Started last game
-0.238
Consecutive starts
-0.180
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 25, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Cooper Black

Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 22

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
21
Save %
85.7
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
33.3

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 23

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
159
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
42.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.47
xG against / game
2.78
xG differential / game
0.69

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.26
xG against / game
3.49
xG differential / game
-1.23

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.8
Corsi share (%)
56.4
Fenwick share (%)
54.3
Faceoff win %
45.8
Penalties / game
5.6

Shots / game: 28.9 · Shooting: 10.4% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
44.0
Corsi share (%)
42.5
Fenwick share (%)
41.5
Faceoff win %
42.3
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 21.4 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
14Points6
0.583Points %0.273
34Goals for24
36Goals against43
-2Goal differential-19
W1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Florida Panthers FLA road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
9Games7
4Wins3
10Points6
-5Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Florida Panthers FLA
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
5-4-1Record3-7-0
11Points6
30Goals for22
32Goals against38
-2Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Florida Panthers FLA 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 3 wins
Total goals35 – 24
Goal differential +11 / -11
Goals per game3.5 / 2.4
Shots per game35.3 / 24.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 25, 2026
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 1 25 - 20 View
Oct 7, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
2 - 3 19 - 37 View
Feb 1, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 5 25 - 44 View
Nov 21, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 33 - 20 View
Nov 12, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 4 26 - 31 View
Nov 4, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 5 40 - 25 View
Mar 10, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
3 - 4 24 - 43 View
Oct 25, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 4 31 - 22 View
Mar 31, 2022
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
0 - 4 37 - 44 View
Feb 20, 2022
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 2 25 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings FLA CHI