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Colorado Avalanche vs Nashville Predators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 25, 2026

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 25, 2026.

October 25, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Colorado Avalanche

6-5-1

2 Model pick
Final
Home

Nashville Predators

4-3-4

6
Model V2 pick: Colorado Avalanche at 58.4% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Colorado Avalanche logo
Away team

Colorado Avalanche

58.4%
Fair American -140
Fair decimal 1.71
Best market -225 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 69.2%
Edge -10.8%
Expected value -15.6%
Calculate value
Nashville Predators logo
Home team

Nashville Predators

41.6%
Fair American +140
Fair decimal 2.4
Best market +200 · Bovada
Market implied 33.3%
Edge +8.3%
Expected value +24.8%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 25, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

100:48 together · 9 games

xG share58.0%
Corsi for / against
131 / 95
Fenwick for / against
93 / 72
Corsi share
58.0%
Fenwick share
56.4%
xG for / against
6.22 / 4.51
All observed combinations

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

49:19 together · 9 games

xG share61.2%
Corsi for / against
56 / 43
Fenwick for / against
38 / 32
Corsi share
56.6%
Fenwick share
54.3%
xG for / against
2.61 / 1.66
Defense pair

103:56 together · 9 games

xG share42.2%
Corsi for / against
94 / 111
Fenwick for / against
71 / 79
Corsi share
45.9%
Fenwick share
47.3%
xG for / against
3.57 / 4.89
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Colorado Avalanche

Mackenzie Blackwood 75.3%
Other eligible goalies

Why Mackenzie Blackwood?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.955
Started last game
-0.313
Won previous appearance
+0.294
Goalie win pct before
+0.183
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.115
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 25, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Nashville Predators

Justus Annunen 83.4%
Other eligible goalies

Why Justus Annunen?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team played yesterday
+1.529
Goalie team start share
-0.451
Started last game
+0.406
Team win pct before
+0.385
Prev save pct
-0.319
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 25, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 23

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
89.1
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
41.3

Juuse Saros

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
153
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
30.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.23
xG against / game
2.74
xG differential / game
0.48

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
2.77
xG against / game
3.36
xG differential / game
-0.59

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.8
Corsi share (%)
52.6
Fenwick share (%)
52.8
Faceoff win %
48.2
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 30.1 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.3
Corsi share (%)
45.7
Fenwick share (%)
46.3
Faceoff win %
49.4
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
13Points12
0.542Points %0.545
49Goals for31
40Goals against35
9Goal differential-4
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH home
6Games6
2Wins3
4Points7
-2Goal differential2
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Nashville Predators NSH
4-5-1Record4-2-4
9Points12
35Goals for30
35Goals against32
0Goal differential-2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Nashville Predators NSH 5 wins
Total goals32 – 33
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game3.2 / 3.3
Shots per game34.7 / 30.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 16, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
7 - 3 30 - 42 View
Dec 13, 2025
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 4 29 - 41 View
Dec 9, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 4 42 - 28 View
Nov 22, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 0 26 - 35 View
Feb 22, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 2 32 - 17 View
Dec 14, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 5 39 - 33 View
Nov 11, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3 30 - 32 View
Nov 2, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
2 - 5 31 - 26 View
Mar 30, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
4 - 7 35 - 42 View
Mar 2, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
1 - 5 26 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings COL NSH