Edmonton Oilers vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 10, 2026

NHL matchup

Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 10, 2026.

March 10, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Connor Ingram

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Mar 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
30.2

Scott Wedgewood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Mar 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
29.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
3.01
xG differential / game
0.44

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.69
xG against / game
2.79
xG differential / game
0.90

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.8
Attempt share
52.3
Faceoff win %
56.7
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 30.9 · Shooting: 13.3% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
67.6
Attempt share
55.3
Faceoff win %
52.5
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 32.2 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
11Points9
0.786Points %0.643
31Goals for31
22Goals against22
9Goal differential9
L1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Edmonton Oilers EDM road
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL home
4Games4
4Wins2
8Points5
10Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
5-1-1Record4-2-1
11Points9
31Goals for31
22Goals against22
9Goal differential9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Edmonton Oilers EDM 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Colorado Avalanche COL 6 wins
Total goals31 – 38
Goal differential -7 / +7
Goals per game3.1 / 3.8
Shots per game32.8 / 32.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 8, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
9 - 1 34 - 24 View
Feb 7, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
5 - 4 31 - 27 View
Jan 16, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
4 - 3 28 - 25 View
Nov 30, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
4 - 1 32 - 28 View
Apr 18, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 5 26 - 27 View
Apr 5, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 6 24 - 47 View
Mar 16, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 2 43 - 34 View
Apr 11, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 1 40 - 29 View
Feb 19, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
5 - 6 40 - 42 View
Jan 7, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 2 46 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.