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Buffalo Sabres vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 15, 2027

NHL matchup

Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 15, 2027.

February 15, 2027 · 6:00 PM MBT
Away

Buffalo Sabres

8-6-3

56.3% Model pick
at
Home

New York Rangers

10-8-1

43.7%
Model V2 pick: Buffalo Sabres at 56.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Buffalo Sabres logo
Away team

Buffalo Sabres

56.3%
Fair American -129
Fair decimal 1.78
Calculate value
New York Rangers logo
Home team

New York Rangers

43.7%
Fair American +129
Fair decimal 2.29
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 15, 2027.

Buffalo Sabres

All Model Picks

Bets
12
Record
6-6
Net units
-1.52
ROI
-12.7%

Value Picks

Bets
6
Record
1-5
Net units
-4.07
ROI
-67.8%

Market Favourite

Bets
9
Record
6-3
Net units
1.24
ROI
13.8%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

64:53 together · 9 games

xG share47.4%
Corsi for / against
75 / 69
Fenwick for / against
55 / 57
Corsi share
52.1%
Fenwick share
49.1%
xG for / against
3.74 / 4.14
Defense pair

105:44 together · 8 games

xG share50.6%
Corsi for / against
114 / 106
Fenwick for / against
73 / 74
Corsi share
51.8%
Fenwick share
49.7%
xG for / against
4.43 / 4.32
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

149:50 together · 10 games

xG share58.2%
Corsi for / against
154 / 142
Fenwick for / against
108 / 105
Corsi share
52.0%
Fenwick share
50.7%
xG for / against
6.82 / 4.90
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Feb 15, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Colten Ellis

Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Nov 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
123
Save %
88.6
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
30.1

Dylan Garand

New York Rangers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
91.5
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
27.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 15, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

xG for / game
3.32
xG against / game
3.65
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.44
xG against / game
2.86
xG differential / game
0.57

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 15, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.2
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.6
Faceoff win %
43.4
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 30.3 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.1
Corsi share (%)
51.4
Fenwick share (%)
51.1
Faceoff win %
54.1
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Feb 15, 2027.

Buffalo Sabres

J. Zucker Hot · +0.74 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 1.40 points/game
0.66 points/game across 137 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
5
Points
7
Shots / game
3.4
O. Zellweger Hot · +0.71 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 1.00 points/game
0.29 points/game across 150 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
3.0
R. McLeod Hot · +0.59 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 1.20 points/game
0.61 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
2
Points
6
Shots / game
2.0
R. Dahlin Hot · +0.49 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 1.40 points/game
0.91 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
4
Points
7
Shots / game
3.4
Z. Benson Hot · +0.47 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 1.00 points/game
0.53 points/game across 152 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
2
Points
5
Shots / game
1.8

New York Rangers

J. Miller Hot · +0.56 P/GP

5 games vs Buffalo Sabres · 1.40 points/game
0.84 points/game across 154 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
6
Points
7
Shots / game
2.2
W. Cuylle Cold · -0.51 P/GP

5 games vs Buffalo Sabres · 0.00 points/game
0.51 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.8
A. Fox Hot · +0.50 P/GP

5 games vs Buffalo Sabres · 1.40 points/game
0.90 points/game across 143 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
4
Points
7
Shots / game
2.2
V. Gavrikov Cold · -0.40 P/GP

5 games vs Buffalo Sabres · 0.00 points/game
0.40 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.6
T. Kartye Cold · -0.34 P/GP

3 games vs Buffalo Sabres · 0.00 points/game
0.34 points/game across 143 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.7
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
19Points21
0.559Points %0.553
50Goals for56
57Goals against55
-7Goal differential1
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Buffalo Sabres BUF road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
8Games10
4Wins8
11Points16
-1Goal differential16
Last 10 games
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
5-3-2Record4-5-1
12Points9
31Goals for28
31Goals against34
0Goal differential-6
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Buffalo Sabres BUF 6 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 4 wins
Total goals38 – 27
Goal differential +11 / -11
Goals per game3.8 / 2.7
Shots per game30.4 / 28.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 8, 2026
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 3 27 - 20 View
Jan 8, 2026
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 2 21 - 32 View
Oct 9, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
4 - 0 33 - 37 View
Feb 22, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 8 28 - 33 View
Dec 11, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 2 28 - 31 View
Nov 7, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers New York Rangers
6 - 1 22 - 26 View
Dec 23, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 4 30 - 33 View
Nov 27, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 1 39 - 26 View
Oct 12, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
5 - 1 31 - 25 View
Apr 10, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 39 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings BUF NYR