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Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 20, 2026

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 20, 2026.

December 20, 2026 · 7:00 PM MBT
Away

Anaheim Ducks

10-7-1

41.9%
at
Home

Edmonton Oilers

13-3-3

58.1% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 58.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Edmonton Oilers logo
Home team

Edmonton Oilers

58.1%
Fair American -139
Fair decimal 1.72
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 20, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
10
Record
7-3
Net units
3.65
ROI
36.5%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
4.80
ROI
60.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
3-2
Net units
0.35
ROI
7.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:51 together · 6 games

xG share55.0%
Corsi for / against
49 / 41
Fenwick for / against
32 / 31
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
2.63 / 2.15
Defense pair

83:48 together · 9 games

xG share38.3%
Corsi for / against
67 / 80
Fenwick for / against
37 / 53
Corsi share
45.6%
Fenwick share
41.1%
xG for / against
2.50 / 4.02
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

133:51 together · 10 games

xG share43.8%
Corsi for / against
103 / 141
Fenwick for / against
77 / 105
Corsi share
42.2%
Fenwick share
42.3%
xG for / against
4.01 / 5.15
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 20, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Edmonton Oilers

D. Levi
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
8
Save %
0.898
GAA
2.75
T. Jarry
GP
8
Starts
7
Wins
4
Save %
0.903
GAA
2.57
M. Tomkins
GP
2
Starts
2
Wins
1
Save %
0.878
GAA
3.09
B. Epp
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Laurent Brossoit

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Nov 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
37.7

Devon Levi

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
89.5
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
35.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.01
xG against / game
3.55
xG differential / game
-0.54

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
2.78
xG against / game
2.83
xG differential / game
-0.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.3
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
6.1

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 18.1% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.3
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
4.7

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 13.9% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 20, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

B. Sennecke Hot · +1.03 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.80 points/game
0.77 points/game across 95 games vs other opponents

Goals
6
Assists
3
Points
9
Shots / game
4.4
L. Carlsson Hot · +0.79 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.60 points/game
0.81 points/game across 156 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
7
Points
8
Shots / game
1.4
N. Jensen Hot · +0.47 P/GP

4 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.75 points/game
0.28 points/game across 131 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
0.8
S. Colangelo Hot · +0.35 P/GP

3 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.67 points/game
0.31 points/game across 51 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
1.0
N. Nesterenko Cold · -0.32 P/GP

3 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.00 points/game
0.32 points/game across 62 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.3

Edmonton Oilers

C. McDavid Hot · +1.12 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 2.80 points/game
1.68 points/game across 160 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
10
Points
14
Shots / game
3.0
E. Bouchard Hot · +0.98 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 2.00 points/game
1.02 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
6
Points
10
Shots / game
3.2
M. Ekholm Hot · +0.92 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.40 points/game
0.48 points/game across 156 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
4
Points
7
Shots / game
1.4
L. Draisaitl Hot · +0.89 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 2.40 points/game
1.51 points/game across 148 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
10
Points
12
Shots / game
3.0
J. Walman Cold · -0.50 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.50 points/game across 121 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.6
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
21Points29
0.583Points %0.763
69Goals for78
66Goals against56
3Goal differential22
W5Current streakW2
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
10Games11
7Wins6
14Points14
5Goal differential2
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
6-3-1Record6-2-2
13Points14
45Goals for37
40Goals against29
5Goal differential8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 5 wins
Total goals36 – 41
Goal differential -5 / +5
Goals per game3.6 / 4.1
Shots per game28.3 / 30.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 5, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
5 - 4 21 - 27 View
Oct 7, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 2 19 - 31 View
Mar 28, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 31 - 34 View
Feb 25, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 6 27 - 29 View
Jan 26, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 7 40 - 32 View
Apr 7, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 47 - 21 View
Mar 4, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
6 - 2 27 - 35 View
Jan 3, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 3 29 - 26 View
Dec 29, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 5 23 - 32 View
Mar 30, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 6 22 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings ANA EDM