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St. Louis Blues vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 18, 2027

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 18, 2027.

March 18, 2027 · 8:00 PM MBT
Away

St. Louis Blues

8-8-2

41.0%
at
Home

Edmonton Oilers

13-3-3

59.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 59.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Away team

St. Louis Blues

41.0%
Fair American +144
Fair decimal 2.44
Calculate value
Edmonton Oilers logo
Home team

Edmonton Oilers

59.0%
Fair American -144
Fair decimal 1.69
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 18, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

71:37 together · 10 games

xG share50.4%
Corsi for / against
60 / 79
Fenwick for / against
47 / 54
Corsi share
43.2%
Fenwick share
46.5%
xG for / against
2.97 / 2.92
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

9 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Partial coverage: 9 / 10 selected games. Results use validated games only. Games awaiting complete shift or play-by-play data are excluded, not counted as zero or replaced by older games.

Defense pair

117:07 together · 9 games

xG share42.5%
Corsi for / against
95 / 125
Fenwick for / against
73 / 93
Corsi share
43.2%
Fenwick share
44.0%
xG for / against
3.51 / 4.76
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Mar 18, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Edmonton Oilers

D. Levi
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
8
Save %
0.898
GAA
2.75
T. Jarry
GP
9
Starts
8
Wins
5
Save %
0.908
GAA
2.50
M. Tomkins
GP
2
Starts
2
Wins
1
Save %
0.878
GAA
3.09
B. Epp
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
148
Save %
92.6
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
27.0

Devon Levi

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
89.6
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
36.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.92
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
-0.06

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
2.77
xG against / game
2.77
xG differential / game
0.00

9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.9
Corsi share (%)
47.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.3
Faceoff win %
50.2
Penalties / game
2.3

Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.2
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
4.7

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 13.9% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Mar 18, 2027.

St. Louis Blues

C. McMichael Hot · +1.15 P/GP

4 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.75 points/game
0.60 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
5
Points
7
Shots / game
1.8
J. Snuggerud Cold · -0.50 P/GP

4 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.25 points/game
0.75 points/game across 91 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.3
D. Holloway Cold · -0.44 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.40 points/game
0.84 points/game across 149 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
3.0
R. Thomas Hot · +0.37 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.40 points/game
1.03 points/game across 147 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
5
Points
7
Shots / game
2.6
J. Neighbours Cold · -0.35 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.20 points/game
0.55 points/game across 164 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
1.0

Edmonton Oilers

C. McDavid Hot · +0.52 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 2.20 points/game
1.68 points/game across 163 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
9
Points
11
Shots / game
1.8
V. Podkolzin Hot · +0.40 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.80 points/game
0.40 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
2.0
L. Draisaitl Cold · -0.30 P/GP

4 games vs St. Louis Blues · 1.25 points/game
1.55 points/game across 152 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
4
Points
5
Shots / game
3.3
E. Bouchard Cold · -0.27 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.80 points/game
1.07 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
4
Points
4
Shots / game
3.0
T. Frederic Hot · +0.25 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.40 points/game
0.15 points/game across 144 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
0
Points
2
Shots / game
1.8
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
18Points29
0.500Points %0.763
53Goals for78
55Goals against56
-2Goal differential22
W1Current streakW2
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
10Games11
3Wins6
7Points14
-6Goal differential2
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
5-4-1Record6-2-2
11Points14
26Goals for37
27Goals against29
-1Goal differential8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 5 wins
Total goals28 – 31
Goal differential -3 / +3
Goals per game2.8 / 3.1
Shots per game27.8 / 31.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 13, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 38 - 25 View
Jan 18, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
0 - 5 27 - 28 View
Nov 3, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 26 - 22 View
Apr 9, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 4 26 - 23 View
Feb 4, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 2 39 - 22 View
Dec 7, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 31 - 21 View
Apr 1, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 38 - 29 View
Feb 28, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 3 34 - 36 View
Feb 15, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 6 38 - 30 View
Dec 15, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 3 32 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
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