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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 8, 2026.

November 8, 2026 · 8:00 PM MBT
Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

6-10-2

2
Final
Home

Anaheim Ducks

10-7-1

5 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Anaheim Ducks at 56.5% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Away team

Pittsburgh Penguins

43.5%
Fair American +130
Fair decimal 2.3
Best market +108 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 48.1%
Edge -4.6%
Expected value -9.5%
Calculate value
Anaheim Ducks logo
Home team

Anaheim Ducks

56.5%
Fair American -130
Fair decimal 1.77
Best market -119 · MyBookie.ag
Market implied 54.3%
Edge +2.2%
Expected value +4.0%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 8, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
9
Record
6-3
Net units
2.81
ROI
31.3%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
5-2
Net units
3.96
ROI
56.6%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
2-2
Net units
-0.49
ROI
-12.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

66:27 together · 6 games

xG share54.9%
Corsi for / against
75 / 58
Fenwick for / against
54 / 46
Corsi share
56.4%
Fenwick share
54.0%
xG for / against
3.93 / 3.23
Defense pair

92:58 together · 10 games

xG share39.7%
Corsi for / against
78 / 92
Fenwick for / against
60 / 69
Corsi share
45.9%
Fenwick share
46.5%
xG for / against
3.77 / 5.71
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

42:38 together · 6 games

xG share60.0%
Corsi for / against
41 / 30
Fenwick for / against
28 / 22
Corsi share
57.7%
Fenwick share
56.0%
xG for / against
2.41 / 1.60
Defense pair

69:43 together · 8 games

xG share39.2%
Corsi for / against
57 / 59
Fenwick for / against
33 / 40
Corsi share
49.1%
Fenwick share
45.2%
xG for / against
2.14 / 3.32
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Arturs Silovs 88.6%
Other eligible goalies
  • Sergei Murashov11.4%

Why Arturs Silovs?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team played yesterday
+0.903
Goalie team start share
+0.644
Team win pct before
+0.458
Started last game
+0.420
Days since last start
+0.323
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Nov 8, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Anaheim Ducks

Ville Husso 52.9%
Other eligible goalies

Why Ville Husso?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
-0.519
Played last game
+0.359
Prev save pct
+0.290
Won previous appearance
+0.274
Started last game
+0.232
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Nov 8, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Nov 8, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Pittsburgh Penguins

A. Silovs
GP
11
Starts
11
Wins
5
Save %
0.876
GAA
3.26
S. Murashov
GP
6
Starts
6
Wins
1
Save %
0.878
GAA
3.52
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Sergei Murashov

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
140
Save %
87.1
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
34.3

Lukas Dostal

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Nov 6

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
123
Save %
83.7
Goals allowed
20
Close-range shots %
37.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
2.90
xG against / game
3.36
xG differential / game
-0.46

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
2.98
xG against / game
3.63
xG differential / game
-0.65

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.2
Corsi share (%)
51.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.2
Faceoff win %
45.0
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.7
Corsi share (%)
48.8
Fenwick share (%)
48.3
Faceoff win %
48.7
Penalties / game
6.0

Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 16.5% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Nov 8, 2026.

Pittsburgh Penguins

E. Malkin Cold · -0.58 P/GP

3 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.33 points/game
0.91 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
3.7
A. Kuzmenko Hot · +0.53 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.00 points/game
0.47 points/game across 123 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
5
Points
5
Shots / game
0.4
K. Letang Cold · -0.44 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.44 points/game across 161 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.5
S. Girard Cold · -0.35 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.35 points/game across 143 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.5
S. Stastney Hot · +0.25 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.40 points/game
0.15 points/game across 95 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
0.6

Anaheim Ducks

J. LaCombe Cold · -0.45 P/GP

4 games vs Pittsburgh Penguins · 0.25 points/game
0.70 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
2.3
D. Helleson Hot · +0.45 P/GP

3 games vs Pittsburgh Penguins · 0.67 points/game
0.22 points/game across 123 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
2.0
L. Carlsson Cold · -0.35 P/GP

4 games vs Pittsburgh Penguins · 0.50 points/game
0.85 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
1.0
A. Killorn Hot · +0.34 P/GP

4 games vs Pittsburgh Penguins · 0.75 points/game
0.41 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
0
Points
3
Shots / game
2.5
R. Poehling Cold · -0.28 P/GP

5 games vs Pittsburgh Penguins · 0.20 points/game
0.48 points/game across 143 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.2
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
14Points21
0.389Points %0.583
58Goals for69
65Goals against66
-7Goal differential3
L1Current streakW5
Road versus home
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
10Games8
2Wins3
5Points7
-7Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
3-6-1Record6-3-1
7Points13
31Goals for45
38Goals against40
-7Goal differential5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 4 wins
Total goals29 – 25
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game2.9 / 2.5
Shots per game39.4 / 28.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 9, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 28 - 47 View
Oct 14, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 4 25 - 22 View
Jan 23, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
1 - 5 32 - 34 View
Oct 31, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 2 23 - 45 View
Nov 7, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 0 36 - 31 View
Oct 30, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 27 - 42 View
Feb 10, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
6 - 3 59 - 31 View
Jan 16, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 4 29 - 45 View
Jan 11, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 1 34 - 26 View
Dec 11, 2021
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 1 33 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PIT ANA