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New York Rangers vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 9, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 9, 2026.

November 9, 2026 · 8:00 PM MBT
Away

New York Rangers

10-8-1

1
Final
Home

Edmonton Oilers

13-3-3

3 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 64.3% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Away team

New York Rangers

35.7%
Fair American +180
Fair decimal 2.8
Best market +138 · BetRivers
Market implied 42.0%
Edge -6.3%
Expected value -15.0%
Calculate value
Edmonton Oilers logo
Home team

Edmonton Oilers

64.3%
Fair American -180
Fair decimal 1.56
Best market -155 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 60.8%
Edge +3.5%
Expected value +5.8%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 9, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

151:44 together · 10 games

xG share55.3%
Corsi for / against
153 / 154
Fenwick for / against
105 / 107
Corsi share
49.8%
Fenwick share
49.5%
xG for / against
6.58 / 5.31
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

139:14 together · 10 games

xG share47.5%
Corsi for / against
107 / 148
Fenwick for / against
78 / 106
Corsi share
42.0%
Fenwick share
42.4%
xG for / against
4.79 / 5.30
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

New York Rangers

Dylan Garand Only eligible candidate

Why Dylan Garand?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.603
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.544
Won previous appearance
+0.317
Days since last start
+0.312
Prev save pct
+0.254
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Nov 9, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Edmonton Oilers

Devon Levi 54.7%
Other eligible goalies

Why Devon Levi?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.771
Team win pct before
-0.353
Goalie win pct before
+0.327
Started last game
-0.317
Won previous appearance
+0.229
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Nov 9, 5:01 AM Winnipeg time

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Nov 9, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Edmonton Oilers

D. Levi
GP
8
Starts
8
Wins
7
Save %
0.888
GAA
2.97
T. Jarry
GP
8
Starts
7
Wins
4
Save %
0.903
GAA
2.57
M. Tomkins
GP
2
Starts
2
Wins
1
Save %
0.878
GAA
3.09
B. Epp
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joonas Korpisalo

New York Rangers · Last start: Nov 7

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
28
Save %
89.3
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
35.7

Devon Levi

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
144
Save %
90.3
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
35.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.25
xG against / game
3.03
xG differential / game
0.21

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.12
xG against / game
2.95
xG differential / game
0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.2
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
48.9
Faceoff win %
54.1
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 27.4 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 30.1 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.5
Corsi share (%)
50.1
Fenwick share (%)
50.4
Faceoff win %
48.9
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 13.7% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Nov 9, 2026.

New York Rangers

S. Durzi Hot · +0.95 P/GP

3 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.33 points/game
0.39 points/game across 101 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
0.7
A. Fox Cold · -0.75 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.20 points/game
0.95 points/game across 142 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
2.2
M. Zibanejad Cold · -0.68 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.20 points/game
0.88 points/game across 176 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
3.0
O. Bjorkstrand Cold · -0.51 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.00 points/game
0.51 points/game across 172 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.2
J. Miller Cold · -0.47 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.40 points/game
0.87 points/game across 151 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
2.8

Edmonton Oilers

M. Ekholm Cold · -0.52 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.52 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.3
C. Dach Hot · +0.44 P/GP

3 games vs New York Rangers · 0.67 points/game
0.23 points/game across 96 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
0
Points
2
Shots / game
1.3
L. Draisaitl Cold · -0.35 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 1.20 points/game
1.55 points/game across 149 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
5
Points
6
Shots / game
2.6
C. McDavid Cold · -0.32 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 1.40 points/game
1.72 points/game across 162 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
3
Points
7
Shots / game
3.6
R. Shea Hot · +0.29 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.60 points/game
0.31 points/game across 130 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
0.4
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
21Points29
0.553Points %0.763
56Goals for78
55Goals against56
1Goal differential22
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
9Games11
2Wins6
5Points14
-15Goal differential2
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
4-5-1Record6-2-2
9Points14
28Goals for37
34Goals against29
-6Goal differential8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 6 wins
Total goals26 – 31
Goal differential -5 / +5
Goals per game2.6 / 3.1
Shots per game30.4 / 29.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 1, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 1 25 - 28 View
Oct 30, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 3 35 - 36 View
Oct 14, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 0 22 - 30 View
Mar 16, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 1 23 - 22 View
Nov 23, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 6 34 - 40 View
Dec 22, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 3 28 - 34 View
Oct 26, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 0 32 - 29 View
Feb 17, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
5 - 4 38 - 29 View
Nov 26, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 3 32 - 23 View
Jan 3, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 34 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYR EDM