Nashville Predators vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Odds & Win Probability | March 27, 2027

March 27, 2027 · 7:00 PM MBT

Away

Nashville Predators

5-4-5

47.0%

Home

Dallas Stars

8-5-1

53.0% Model pick

Model V2 pick: Dallas Stars at 53.0%

Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Away team

Nashville Predators

47.0%

Fair American +113

Fair decimal 2.13

Calculate value

Home team

Dallas Stars

53.0%

Fair American -113

Fair decimal 1.89

Calculate value

Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 27, 2027.

Nashville Predators

All Model Picks

Bets: 7
Record: 2-5
Net units: -2.46
ROI: -35.1%

Value Picks

Bets: 11
Record: 4-7
Net units: -1.04
ROI: -9.5%

Market Favourite

Bets: 2
Record: 0-2
Net units: -2.00
ROI: -100.0%

Full team betting results

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Bets: 5
Record: 3-2
Net units: -0.35
ROI: -6.9%

Value Picks

Bets: 0
Record: 0-0
Net units: 0.00
ROI: —

Market Favourite

Bets: 12
Record: 7-5
Net units: -0.89
ROI: -7.4%

Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

57:58 together · 9 games

xG share65.2%

Corsi for / against: 74 / 41
Fenwick for / against: 49 / 26
Corsi share: 64.3%
Fenwick share: 65.3%
xG for / against: 3.47 / 1.86

Defense pair

126:21 together · 10 games

xG share60.9%

Corsi for / against: 154 / 121
Fenwick for / against: 110 / 89
Corsi share: 56.0%
Fenwick share: 55.3%
xG for / against: 8.69 / 5.59

All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

55:02 together · 9 games

xG share55.3%

Corsi for / against: 39 / 44
Fenwick for / against: 29 / 24
Corsi share: 47.0%
Fenwick share: 54.7%
xG for / against: 2.22 / 1.79

Defense pair

87:50 together · 10 games

xG share68.2%

Corsi for / against: 98 / 61
Fenwick for / against: 67 / 33
Corsi share: 61.6%
Fenwick share: 67.0%
xG for / against: 4.96 / 2.31

All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Dallas Stars

Expected starter unavailable.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Mar 27, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Nashville Predators

J. Saros

GP: 10
Starts: 10
Wins: 3
Save %: 0.903
GAA: 2.94

J. Annunen

GP: 3
Starts: 3
Wins: 2
Save %: 0.846
GAA: 3.89

M. Murray

GP: 1
Starts: 1
Wins: 0
Save %: 0.900
GAA: 1.85

Dallas Stars

J. Oettinger

GP: 11
Starts: 11
Wins: 7
Save %: 0.921
GAA: 1.63

C. DeSmith

GP: 3
Starts: 3
Wins: 1
Save %: 0.888
GAA: 2.94

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Justus Annunen

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 31

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced: 78
Save %: 84.6
Goals allowed: 12
Close-range shots %: 39.7

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 31

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced: 103
Save %: 88.3
Goals allowed: 12
Close-range shots %: 35.0

Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game: 3.25
xG against / game: 3.26
xG differential / game: -0.01

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game: 3.06
xG against / game: 2.72
xG differential / game: 0.34

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game: 58.7
Corsi share (%): 49.5
Fenwick share (%): 49.4
Faceoff win %: 52.0
Penalties / game: 3.7

Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game: 52.0
Corsi share (%): 50.5
Fenwick share (%): 51.4
Faceoff win %: 55.0
Penalties / game: 4.2

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 10.4% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Mar 27, 2027.

Nashville Predators

R. O'Reilly Hot · +0.61 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 1.40 points/game
0.79 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 6
Points: 7
Shots / game: 1.8

N. Hague Hot · +0.42 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.60 points/game
0.18 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 2
Points: 3
Shots / game: 1.6

R. Colton Cold · -0.40 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.40 points/game across 142 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 1.0

B. Skjei Cold · -0.37 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.37 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 1.0

N. Hoglander Hot · +0.33 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.60 points/game
0.27 points/game across 119 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 2
Points: 3
Shots / game: 1.6

Dallas Stars

R. Hintz Cold · -0.45 P/GP

5 games vs Nashville Predators · 0.40 points/game
0.85 points/game across 137 games vs other opponents

Goals: 2
Assists: 0
Points: 2
Shots / game: 3.2

E. Lindell Cold · -0.36 P/GP

5 games vs Nashville Predators · 0.00 points/game
0.36 points/game across 163 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 1.0

T. Seguin Cold · -0.35 P/GP

5 games vs Nashville Predators · 0.40 points/game
0.75 points/game across 56 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 2
Points: 2
Shots / game: 1.4

J. Robertson Cold · -0.28 P/GP

5 games vs Nashville Predators · 0.80 points/game
1.08 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 3
Points: 4
Shots / game: 1.8

W. Johnston Hot · +0.25 P/GP

5 games vs Nashville Predators · 1.20 points/game
0.95 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals: 2
Assists: 4
Points: 6
Shots / game: 3.0

How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview

NSH	Metric	DAL
15	Points	17
0.536	Points %	0.607
42	Goals for	38
47	Goals against	31
-5	Goal differential	7
W1	Current streak	W1

Road versus home

NSH road	Metric	DAL home
5	Games	9
1	Wins	5
5	Points	10
-6	Goal differential	0

Last 10 games

NSH	Metric	DAL
3-3-4	Record	6-3-1
10	Points	13
30	Goals for	28
36	Goals against	25
-6	Goal differential	3

History

Last 10 head-to-head games

NSH 4 wins

10 games reviewed

DAL 6 wins

Total goals31 – 35

Goal differential -4 / +4

Goals per game3.1 / 3.5

Shots per game29.1 / 28.1

Date	Matchup	Score	Shots	Details
Oct 3, 2026	Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators	1 - 2	30 - 26	View
Feb 28, 2026	Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars	2 - 3	27 - 25	View
Nov 8, 2025	Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators	5 - 4	22 - 21	View
Oct 26, 2025	Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators	3 - 2	28 - 25	View
Apr 16, 2025	Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators	1 - 5	30 - 34	View
Apr 3, 2025	Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars	1 - 5	29 - 27	View
Dec 12, 2024	Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars	4 - 1	26 - 36	View
Oct 10, 2024	Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators	4 - 3	20 - 36	View
Feb 15, 2024	Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators	9 - 2	41 - 29	View
Jan 12, 2024	Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars	6 - 3	38 - 22	View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.

Nashville Predators vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 27, 2027

Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars

Nashville Predators

Dallas Stars

Model V2 versus market

Nashville Predators

Dallas Stars

Team performance leading into this game

Nashville Predators

All Model Picks

Value Picks

Market Favourite

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Value Picks

Market Favourite

Forward trios & defense pairs

Nashville Predators

Dallas Stars

Expected starters

Every recorded goalie

Nashville Predators

Dallas Stars

Recent starting goalies

Recent expected goals

Team tendencies before this game

Hot & cold against the other team

Nashville Predators

Dallas Stars

Want the full picture?

Season and recent form

Last 10 head-to-head games