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Edmonton Oilers vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 22, 2026

NHL matchup

Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 22, 2026.

November 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM MBT
Away

Edmonton Oilers

13-3-3

54.3% Model pick
at
Home

St. Louis Blues

7-8-2

45.7%
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 54.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Edmonton Oilers logo
Away team

Edmonton Oilers

54.3%
Fair American -119
Fair decimal 1.84
Calculate value
St. Louis Blues logo
Home team

St. Louis Blues

45.7%
Fair American +119
Fair decimal 2.19
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 22, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

133:51 together · 10 games

xG share43.8%
Corsi for / against
103 / 141
Fenwick for / against
77 / 105
Corsi share
42.2%
Fenwick share
42.3%
xG for / against
4.01 / 5.15
All observed combinations

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

73:04 together · 10 games

xG share50.4%
Corsi for / against
61 / 79
Fenwick for / against
47 / 54
Corsi share
43.6%
Fenwick share
46.5%
xG for / against
2.97 / 2.92
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Nov 22, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Edmonton Oilers

D. Levi
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
8
Save %
0.898
GAA
2.75
T. Jarry
GP
8
Starts
7
Wins
4
Save %
0.903
GAA
2.57
M. Tomkins
GP
2
Starts
2
Wins
1
Save %
0.878
GAA
3.09
B. Epp
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devon Levi

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
89.5
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
35.3

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
155
Save %
91.6
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
27.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
2.78
xG against / game
2.83
xG differential / game
-0.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.78
xG against / game
3.02
xG differential / game
-0.24

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.3
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
4.7

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 13.9% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.0
Corsi share (%)
48.0
Fenwick share (%)
47.0
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
2.3

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Nov 22, 2026.

Edmonton Oilers

C. McDavid Hot · +0.51 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 2.20 points/game
1.69 points/game across 162 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
9
Points
11
Shots / game
1.8
V. Podkolzin Hot · +0.39 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.80 points/game
0.41 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
2.0
L. Draisaitl Cold · -0.30 P/GP

4 games vs St. Louis Blues · 1.25 points/game
1.55 points/game across 151 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
4
Points
5
Shots / game
3.3
E. Bouchard Cold · -0.27 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.80 points/game
1.07 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
4
Points
4
Shots / game
3.0
T. Frederic Hot · +0.25 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.40 points/game
0.15 points/game across 143 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
0
Points
2
Shots / game
1.8

St. Louis Blues

C. McMichael Hot · +1.14 P/GP

4 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.75 points/game
0.61 points/game across 173 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
5
Points
7
Shots / game
1.8
J. Snuggerud Cold · -0.48 P/GP

4 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.25 points/game
0.73 points/game across 90 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.3
D. Holloway Cold · -0.44 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.40 points/game
0.84 points/game across 148 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
3.0
R. Thomas Hot · +0.37 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.40 points/game
1.03 points/game across 146 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
5
Points
7
Shots / game
2.6
J. Neighbours Cold · -0.35 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.20 points/game
0.55 points/game across 163 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
1.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
29Points16
0.763Points %0.471
78Goals for50
56Goals against53
22Goal differential-3
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Edmonton Oilers EDM road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
8Games7
7Wins4
15Points9
20Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
6-2-2Record4-5-1
14Points9
37Goals for25
29Goals against30
8Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Edmonton Oilers EDM 5 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 5 wins
Total goals31 – 28
Goal differential +3 / -3
Goals per game3.1 / 2.8
Shots per game31.4 / 27.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 13, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 38 - 25 View
Jan 18, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
0 - 5 27 - 28 View
Nov 3, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 26 - 22 View
Apr 9, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 4 26 - 23 View
Feb 4, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 2 39 - 22 View
Dec 7, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 31 - 21 View
Apr 1, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 3 38 - 29 View
Feb 28, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 3 34 - 36 View
Feb 15, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 6 38 - 30 View
Dec 15, 2022
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 3 32 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
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