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Edmonton Oilers vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 8, 2026.

December 8, 2026 · 8:00 PM MBT
Away

Edmonton Oilers

13-3-3

53.4% Model pick
at
Home

Minnesota Wild

12-3-4

46.6%
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 53.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Edmonton Oilers logo
Away team

Edmonton Oilers

53.4%
Fair American -115
Fair decimal 1.87
Calculate value
Minnesota Wild logo
Home team

Minnesota Wild

46.6%
Fair American +115
Fair decimal 2.15
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 8, 2026.

Minnesota Wild

All Model Picks

Bets
12
Record
9-3
Net units
2.86
ROI
23.8%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
3-4
Net units
-1.64
ROI
-23.4%

Market Favourite

Bets
13
Record
10-3
Net units
3.51
ROI
27.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

133:51 together · 10 games

xG share43.8%
Corsi for / against
103 / 141
Fenwick for / against
77 / 105
Corsi share
42.2%
Fenwick share
42.3%
xG for / against
4.01 / 5.15
All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

115:45 together · 10 games

xG share62.0%
Corsi for / against
136 / 97
Fenwick for / against
103 / 78
Corsi share
58.4%
Fenwick share
56.9%
xG for / against
8.26 / 5.06
Defense pair

127:05 together · 10 games

xG share52.5%
Corsi for / against
139 / 113
Fenwick for / against
98 / 84
Corsi share
55.2%
Fenwick share
53.8%
xG for / against
6.86 / 6.19
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 8, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Edmonton Oilers

D. Levi
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
8
Save %
0.898
GAA
2.75
T. Jarry
GP
8
Starts
7
Wins
4
Save %
0.903
GAA
2.57
M. Tomkins
GP
2
Starts
2
Wins
1
Save %
0.878
GAA
3.09
B. Epp
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devon Levi

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
89.5
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
35.3

Calvin Pickard

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Nov 7

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
76
Save %
85.5
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
21.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
2.78
xG against / game
2.83
xG differential / game
-0.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.55
xG against / game
2.91
xG differential / game
0.64

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.3
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
4.7

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 13.9% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.0
Corsi share (%)
51.4
Fenwick share (%)
52.1
Faceoff win %
46.3
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 8, 2026.

Edmonton Oilers

M. Ekholm Cold · -0.53 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.00 points/game
0.53 points/game across 157 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.8
L. Draisaitl Cold · -0.34 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 1.20 points/game
1.54 points/game across 148 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
3
Points
6
Shots / game
4.2
J. Dickinson Hot · +0.34 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.60 points/game
0.26 points/game across 127 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
1.4
Z. Hyman Cold · -0.31 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.40 points/game
0.71 points/game across 133 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
2.4
M. Joseph Hot · +0.25 P/GP

4 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.50 points/game
0.25 points/game across 126 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
0
Points
2
Shots / game
1.0

Minnesota Wild

K. Kaprizov Cold · -0.70 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.60 points/game
1.30 points/game across 132 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
4.0
M. Shabanov Cold · -0.53 P/GP

3 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.00 points/game
0.53 points/game across 59 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.7
J. Brodin Hot · +0.42 P/GP

4 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.75 points/game
0.33 points/game across 127 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.3
M. Boldy Hot · +0.42 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.40 points/game
0.98 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
4
Points
7
Shots / game
3.4
J. Spurgeon Cold · -0.39 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.00 points/game
0.39 points/game across 150 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
29Points28
0.763Points %0.737
78Goals for63
56Goals against43
22Goal differential20
W2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Edmonton Oilers EDM road
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN home
8Games7
7Wins5
15Points12
20Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
6-2-2Record6-1-3
14Points15
37Goals for35
29Goals against22
8Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Edmonton Oilers EDM 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Minnesota Wild MIN 6 wins
Total goals34 – 39
Goal differential -5 / +5
Goals per game3.4 / 3.9
Shots per game35.0 / 28.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 20, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 4 30 - 32 View
Jan 31, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
7 - 3 29 - 42 View
Dec 20, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 5 30 - 37 View
Dec 2, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 0 24 - 33 View
Jan 15, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
5 - 3 36 - 34 View
Dec 12, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
7 - 1 35 - 30 View
Nov 21, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
5 - 3 26 - 31 View
Feb 23, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 2 20 - 43 View
Dec 8, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 4 20 - 40 View
Oct 24, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 7 28 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings EDM MIN