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Edmonton Oilers vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 21, 2027

NHL matchup

Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 21, 2027.

January 21, 2027 · 10:00 PM MBT
Away

Edmonton Oilers

14-3-3

52.2% Model pick
at
Home

Los Angeles Kings

5-9-2

47.8%
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 52.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Edmonton Oilers logo
Away team

Edmonton Oilers

52.2%
Fair American -109
Fair decimal 1.92
Calculate value
Los Angeles Kings logo
Home team

Los Angeles Kings

47.8%
Fair American +109
Fair decimal 2.09
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 21, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

132:55 together · 10 games

xG share40.9%
Corsi for / against
104 / 143
Fenwick for / against
80 / 107
Corsi share
42.1%
Fenwick share
42.8%
xG for / against
3.84 / 5.54
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

101:18 together · 9 games

xG share62.2%
Corsi for / against
120 / 93
Fenwick for / against
83 / 71
Corsi share
56.3%
Fenwick share
53.9%
xG for / against
6.71 / 4.07
Defense pair

122:11 together · 10 games

xG share44.8%
Corsi for / against
86 / 112
Fenwick for / against
63 / 82
Corsi share
43.4%
Fenwick share
43.4%
xG for / against
4.56 / 5.62
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 21, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Edmonton Oilers

D. Levi
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
8
Save %
0.898
GAA
2.75
T. Jarry
GP
9
Starts
8
Wins
5
Save %
0.908
GAA
2.50
M. Tomkins
GP
2
Starts
2
Wins
1
Save %
0.878
GAA
3.09
B. Epp
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Tristan Jarry

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Nov 11

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
94.1
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
28.7

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
30.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
2.77
xG against / game
2.83
xG differential / game
-0.06

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
3.44
xG against / game
3.08
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.4
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
48.8
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
4.9

Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.4
Corsi share (%)
49.9
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 26.9 · Shooting: 12.3% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 21, 2027.

Edmonton Oilers

J. Walman Hot · +0.75 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.20 points/game
0.45 points/game across 123 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
3
Points
6
Shots / game
2.6
R. Nugent-Hopkins Cold · -0.54 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.20 points/game
0.74 points/game across 154 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.6
L. Draisaitl Hot · +0.48 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 2.00 points/game
1.52 points/game across 151 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
6
Points
10
Shots / game
3.4
M. Ekholm Cold · -0.32 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.20 points/game
0.52 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.0
C. Dach Cold · -0.26 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.26 points/game across 94 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.2

Los Angeles Kings

A. Panarin Cold · -0.92 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.20 points/game
1.12 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
2.8
M. Zuccarello Hot · +0.71 P/GP

4 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.50 points/game
0.79 points/game across 131 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
5
Points
6
Shots / game
3.5
D. Doughty Cold · -0.41 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.00 points/game
0.41 points/game across 111 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.0
A. Laferriere Cold · -0.37 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.20 points/game
0.57 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
3.4
A. Turcotte Cold · -0.31 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.00 points/game
0.31 points/game across 129 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
31Points12
0.775Points %0.375
81Goals for45
58Goals against55
23Goal differential-10
W3Current streakL2
Road versus home
Edmonton Oilers EDM road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
8Games8
7Wins2
15Points4
20Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
6-2-2Record5-5-0
14Points10
34Goals for33
26Goals against30
8Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Edmonton Oilers EDM 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 5 wins
Total goals27 – 22
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game2.7 / 2.2
Shots per game26.1 / 30.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 13, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 1 17 - 40 View
Apr 11, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 1 27 - 21 View
Feb 26, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
8 - 1 37 - 22 View
Jan 10, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 3 30 - 24 View
Apr 14, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
5 - 0 36 - 21 View
Apr 5, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 3 27 - 29 View
Jan 13, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
0 - 1 30 - 30 View
Dec 28, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 4 27 - 29 View
Mar 28, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 4 32 - 20 View
Feb 26, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 40 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings EDM LAK