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Dallas Stars vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 8, 2027

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 8, 2027.

January 8, 2027 · 10:00 PM MBT
Away

Dallas Stars

10-5-2

37.6%
at
Home

Anaheim Ducks

10-7-1

62.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Anaheim Ducks at 62.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 8, 2027.

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-14.3%

Value Picks

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—

Market Favourite

Bets
15
Record
9-6
Net units
-0.62
ROI
-4.1%
Full team betting results

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
10
Record
7-3
Net units
3.65
ROI
36.5%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
4.80
ROI
60.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
3-2
Net units
0.35
ROI
7.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

53:27 together · 10 games

xG share53.8%
Corsi for / against
39 / 43
Fenwick for / against
29 / 23
Corsi share
47.6%
Fenwick share
55.8%
xG for / against
2.03 / 1.74
Defense pair

81:03 together · 8 games

xG share69.2%
Corsi for / against
92 / 57
Fenwick for / against
63 / 31
Corsi share
61.7%
Fenwick share
67.0%
xG for / against
4.74 / 2.11
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:51 together · 6 games

xG share55.0%
Corsi for / against
49 / 41
Fenwick for / against
32 / 31
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
2.63 / 2.15
Defense pair

83:48 together · 9 games

xG share38.3%
Corsi for / against
67 / 80
Fenwick for / against
37 / 53
Corsi share
45.6%
Fenwick share
41.1%
xG for / against
2.50 / 4.02
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 8, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
85.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
33.9

Laurent Brossoit

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Nov 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
37.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 8, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.01
xG against / game
3.55
xG differential / game
-0.54

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 8, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.0
Corsi share (%)
51.2
Fenwick share (%)
53.3
Faceoff win %
58.4
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.3
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
6.1

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 18.1% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 8, 2027.

Dallas Stars

M. Heiskanen Hot · +1.33 P/GP

3 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 2.00 points/game
0.67 points/game across 139 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
6
Points
6
Shots / game
1.7
T. Harley Hot · +0.42 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.00 points/game
0.58 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
3
Points
5
Shots / game
2.0
R. Faksa Hot · +0.37 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.60 points/game
0.23 points/game across 135 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.2
R. Hintz Hot · +0.34 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.20 points/game
0.86 points/game across 140 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
3
Points
6
Shots / game
2.2
M. Rantanen Hot · +0.28 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.40 points/game
1.12 points/game across 157 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
6
Points
7
Shots / game
1.8

Anaheim Ducks

B. Sennecke Hot · +0.53 P/GP

3 games vs Dallas Stars · 1.33 points/game
0.80 points/game across 97 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
1.3
F. Vatrano Cold · -0.42 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.42 points/game across 135 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.2
N. Nesterenko Hot · +0.38 P/GP

3 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.67 points/game
0.29 points/game across 62 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
1.0
J. LaCombe Cold · -0.31 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.40 points/game
0.71 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
1.8
C. Gauthier Hot · +0.24 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 1.00 points/game
0.76 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
2
Points
5
Shots / game
3.2
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
22Points21
0.647Points %0.583
49Goals for69
41Goals against66
8Goal differential3
W1Current streakW5
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
7Games8
4Wins3
10Points7
7Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
7-2-1Record6-3-1
15Points13
33Goals for45
28Goals against40
5Goal differential5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 4 wins
Total goals37 – 31
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game3.7 / 3.1
Shots per game31.5 / 26.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 13, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
1 - 3 25 - 25 View
Dec 19, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
8 - 3 25 - 25 View
Nov 6, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
7 - 5 25 - 26 View
Mar 18, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 4 25 - 31 View
Feb 4, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
1 - 2 27 - 28 View
Nov 18, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 2 27 - 36 View
Mar 8, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
6 - 2 36 - 27 View
Jan 25, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 4 21 - 44 View
Oct 19, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 2 24 - 29 View
Feb 6, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 3 34 - 41 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings DAL ANA