Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 24, 2026

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 24, 2026.

March 24, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Mar 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
99
Save %
86.9
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
26.3

Stuart Skinner

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Mar 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
158
Save %
87.3
Goals allowed
20
Close-range shots %
32.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.54
xG against / game
2.78
xG differential / game
0.75

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.32
xG against / game
3.78
xG differential / game
-0.47

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
68.0
Attempt share
58.3
Faceoff win %
52.6
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 31.0 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.8
Attempt share
47.3
Faceoff win %
45.6
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 27.4 · Shooting: 13.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
9Points7
0.643Points %0.500
31Goals for25
22Goals against22
9Goal differential3
OT1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
3Games3
2Wins2
4Points4
4Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
4-2-1Record3-3-1
9Points7
31Goals for25
22Goals against22
9Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 5 wins
Total goals32 – 35
Goal differential -3 / +3
Goals per game3.2 / 3.5
Shots per game31.3 / 34.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 16, 2026
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
7 - 2 20 - 27 View
Mar 4, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 4 33 - 25 View
Dec 10, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 2 27 - 27 View
Mar 24, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
4 - 5 34 - 30 View
Oct 26, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 4 31 - 29 View
Mar 22, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
5 - 2 45 - 30 View
Feb 7, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 2 42 - 38 View
Apr 5, 2022
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 4 32 - 45 View
Apr 2, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3 40 - 38 View
Jan 10, 2020
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
4 - 3 30 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.