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Colorado Avalanche vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 27, 2026

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 27, 2026.

December 27, 2026 · 8:00 PM MBT
Away

Colorado Avalanche

10-6-2

48.4%
at
Home

Anaheim Ducks

10-7-1

51.6% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Anaheim Ducks at 51.6%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Colorado Avalanche logo
Away team

Colorado Avalanche

48.4%
Fair American +107
Fair decimal 2.07
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 27, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
10
Record
7-3
Net units
3.65
ROI
36.5%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
4.80
ROI
60.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
3-2
Net units
0.35
ROI
7.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

100:15 together · 10 games

xG share55.4%
Corsi for / against
122 / 82
Fenwick for / against
92 / 64
Corsi share
59.8%
Fenwick share
59.0%
xG for / against
6.39 / 5.15
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:51 together · 6 games

xG share55.0%
Corsi for / against
49 / 41
Fenwick for / against
32 / 31
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
2.63 / 2.15
Defense pair

83:48 together · 9 games

xG share38.3%
Corsi for / against
67 / 80
Fenwick for / against
37 / 53
Corsi share
45.6%
Fenwick share
41.1%
xG for / against
2.50 / 4.02
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 27, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
91.5
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
35.0

Laurent Brossoit

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Nov 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
37.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
3.09
xG differential / game
-0.03

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.01
xG against / game
3.55
xG differential / game
-0.54

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.6
Corsi share (%)
53.5
Fenwick share (%)
52.7
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 30.4 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.3
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
6.1

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 18.1% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 27, 2026.

Colorado Avalanche

D. Toews Cold · -0.53 P/GP

3 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.53 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.3
P. Kelly Hot · +0.47 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.80 points/game
0.33 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
0
Points
4
Shots / game
2.6
L. O'Connor Hot · +0.44 P/GP

3 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.67 points/game
0.23 points/game across 97 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
0.3
J. Manson Cold · -0.37 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.37 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.5
N. Kadri Cold · -0.35 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.40 points/game
0.75 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
3.2

Anaheim Ducks

B. Sennecke Cold · -0.85 P/GP

3 games vs Colorado Avalanche · 0.00 points/game
0.85 points/game across 97 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
M. Granlund Cold · -0.57 P/GP

4 games vs Colorado Avalanche · 0.25 points/game
0.82 points/game across 154 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
2.0
J. LaCombe Cold · -0.52 P/GP

5 games vs Colorado Avalanche · 0.20 points/game
0.72 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.8
R. Poehling Cold · -0.48 P/GP

4 games vs Colorado Avalanche · 0.00 points/game
0.48 points/game across 144 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.5
C. Gauthier Cold · -0.39 P/GP

5 games vs Colorado Avalanche · 0.40 points/game
0.79 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
4.2
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
22Points21
0.611Points %0.583
72Goals for69
56Goals against66
16Goal differential3
W1Current streakW5
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
8Games8
3Wins3
6Points7
-4Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
5-4-1Record6-3-1
11Points13
36Goals for45
32Goals against40
4Goal differential5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 2 wins
Total goals41 – 23
Goal differential +18 / -18
Goals per game4.1 / 2.3
Shots per game35.1 / 26.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 3, 2026
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 1 26 - 28 View
Jan 21, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 1 17 - 41 View
Nov 11, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 4 36 - 36 View
Apr 13, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 2 25 - 21 View
Dec 20, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 2 23 - 32 View
Oct 18, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 4 19 - 49 View
Dec 5, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3 33 - 30 View
Dec 2, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 4 37 - 37 View
Nov 15, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 8 17 - 38 View
Apr 9, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 4 46 - 23 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings COL ANA