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Buffalo Sabres vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 14, 2027

NHL matchup

Buffalo Sabres at Minnesota Wild

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 14, 2027.

March 14, 2027 · 6:00 PM MBT
Away

Buffalo Sabres

8-6-3

48.0%
at
Home

Minnesota Wild

13-3-4

52.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 52.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Buffalo Sabres logo
Away team

Buffalo Sabres

48.0%
Fair American +108
Fair decimal 2.08
Calculate value
Minnesota Wild logo
Home team

Minnesota Wild

52.0%
Fair American -108
Fair decimal 1.92
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 14, 2027.

Buffalo Sabres

All Model Picks

Bets
12
Record
6-6
Net units
-1.52
ROI
-12.7%

Value Picks

Bets
6
Record
1-5
Net units
-4.07
ROI
-67.8%

Market Favourite

Bets
9
Record
6-3
Net units
1.24
ROI
13.8%
Full team betting results

Minnesota Wild

All Model Picks

Bets
12
Record
9-3
Net units
2.86
ROI
23.8%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
3-4
Net units
-1.64
ROI
-23.4%

Market Favourite

Bets
14
Record
11-3
Net units
4.36
ROI
31.2%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Buffalo Sabres

9 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Partial coverage: 9 / 10 selected games. Results use validated games only. Games awaiting complete shift or play-by-play data are excluded, not counted as zero or replaced by older games.

Forward trio

64:38 together · 8 games

xG share47.4%
Corsi for / against
75 / 69
Fenwick for / against
55 / 57
Corsi share
52.1%
Fenwick share
49.1%
xG for / against
3.74 / 4.14
Defense pair

105:44 together · 8 games

xG share50.6%
Corsi for / against
114 / 106
Fenwick for / against
73 / 74
Corsi share
51.8%
Fenwick share
49.7%
xG for / against
4.43 / 4.32
All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

112:44 together · 10 games

xG share52.4%
Corsi for / against
118 / 100
Fenwick for / against
86 / 78
Corsi share
54.1%
Fenwick share
52.4%
xG for / against
5.72 / 5.19
Defense pair

127:00 together · 10 games

xG share44.8%
Corsi for / against
130 / 118
Fenwick for / against
91 / 86
Corsi share
52.4%
Fenwick share
51.4%
xG for / against
5.04 / 6.20
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Mar 14, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Colten Ellis

Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Nov 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
123
Save %
88.6
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
30.1

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
93.1
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
25.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

xG for / game
3.35
xG against / game
3.72
xG differential / game
-0.37

9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.42
xG against / game
2.78
xG differential / game
0.64

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 14, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.2
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.6
Faceoff win %
43.4
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 30.3 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.6
Corsi share (%)
50.6
Fenwick share (%)
52.0
Faceoff win %
44.1
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Mar 14, 2027.

Buffalo Sabres

Z. Benson Cold · -0.56 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.00 points/game
0.56 points/game across 153 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.2
T. Thompson Cold · -0.40 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.60 points/game
1.00 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
5.6
L. Crevier Hot · +0.37 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.60 points/game
0.23 points/game across 118 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.6
R. Dahlin Cold · -0.33 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.60 points/game
0.93 points/game across 160 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
3.2
O. Zellweger Cold · -0.32 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.00 points/game
0.32 points/game across 149 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.4

Minnesota Wild

B. Brink Hot · +1.15 P/GP

5 games vs Buffalo Sabres · 1.60 points/game
0.45 points/game across 161 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
6
Points
8
Shots / game
2.0
D. Yurov Hot · +0.66 P/GP

3 games vs Buffalo Sabres · 1.00 points/game
0.34 points/game across 90 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.3
J. Eriksson Ek Cold · -0.39 P/GP

3 games vs Buffalo Sabres · 0.33 points/game
0.72 points/game across 133 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
2.0
N. Foligno Cold · -0.38 P/GP

3 games vs Buffalo Sabres · 0.00 points/game
0.38 points/game across 134 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.3
B. Coleman Hot · +0.33 P/GP

5 games vs Buffalo Sabres · 0.80 points/game
0.47 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
4
Points
4
Shots / game
2.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
19Points30
0.559Points %0.750
50Goals for65
57Goals against44
-7Goal differential21
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Buffalo Sabres BUF road
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN home
8Games7
4Wins5
11Points12
-1Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
5-3-2Record7-1-2
12Points16
31Goals for34
31Goals against19
0Goal differential15
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Buffalo Sabres BUF 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Minnesota Wild MIN 4 wins
Total goals30 – 30
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game3.0 / 3.0
Shots per game30.4 / 30.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 6, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 3 20 - 28 View
Jan 17, 2026
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
5 - 4 35 - 24 View
Nov 29, 2025
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 2 33 - 24 View
Mar 22, 2025
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
1 - 4 21 - 21 View
Nov 27, 2024
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
1 - 0 30 - 39 View
Feb 17, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 2 28 - 32 View
Nov 10, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 3 35 - 25 View
Jan 28, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 3 31 - 35 View
Jan 7, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
5 - 6 44 - 37 View
Mar 4, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
4 - 5 33 - 38 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings BUF MIN