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Anaheim Ducks vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 26, 2027

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 26, 2027.

February 26, 2027 · 9:00 PM MBT
Away

Anaheim Ducks

10-7-1

40.3%
at
Home

Vegas Golden Knights

12-5-2

59.7% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Vegas Golden Knights at 59.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vegas Golden Knights logo
Home team

Vegas Golden Knights

59.7%
Fair American -148
Fair decimal 1.68
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 26, 2027.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
10
Record
7-3
Net units
3.65
ROI
36.5%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
4.80
ROI
60.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
3-2
Net units
0.35
ROI
7.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:51 together · 6 games

xG share55.0%
Corsi for / against
49 / 41
Fenwick for / against
32 / 31
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
2.63 / 2.15
Defense pair

83:48 together · 9 games

xG share38.3%
Corsi for / against
67 / 80
Fenwick for / against
37 / 53
Corsi share
45.6%
Fenwick share
41.1%
xG for / against
2.50 / 4.02
All observed combinations

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

74:24 together · 10 games

xG share43.0%
Corsi for / against
60 / 69
Fenwick for / against
41 / 48
Corsi share
46.5%
Fenwick share
46.1%
xG for / against
2.28 / 3.02
Defense pair

150:18 together · 10 games

xG share60.9%
Corsi for / against
134 / 122
Fenwick for / against
103 / 84
Corsi share
52.3%
Fenwick share
55.1%
xG for / against
7.22 / 4.64
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Feb 26, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Vegas Golden Knights

C. Hart
GP
10
Starts
9
Wins
5
Save %
0.900
GAA
2.49
A. Hill
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
7
Save %
0.903
GAA
2.54
C. Whitehead
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Laurent Brossoit

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Nov 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
37.7

Adin Hill

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Nov 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
90.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.01
xG against / game
3.55
xG differential / game
-0.54

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
2.84
xG against / game
2.94
xG differential / game
-0.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 26, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.3
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
6.1

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 18.1% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.6
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Feb 26, 2027.

Anaheim Ducks

L. Carlsson Hot · +0.37 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 1.20 points/game
0.83 points/game across 158 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
3
Points
6
Shots / game
2.0
J. Malott Hot · +0.33 P/GP

4 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.50 points/game
0.17 points/game across 83 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
0
Points
2
Shots / game
1.3
N. Nesterenko Cold · -0.32 P/GP

3 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.32 points/game across 62 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.7
A. Greer Hot · +0.29 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.60 points/game
0.31 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
2.6
D. Helleson Cold · -0.24 P/GP

4 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.24 points/game across 123 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0

Vegas Golden Knights

M. Stone Cold · -0.36 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.75 points/game
1.11 points/game across 141 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
1.3
M. Marner Cold · -0.34 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.80 points/game
1.14 points/game across 173 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
2.6
N. Dowd Hot · +0.32 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.60 points/game
0.28 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
0.8
R. Andersson Cold · -0.27 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.20 points/game
0.47 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
2.4
P. Wotherspoon Cold · -0.27 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.27 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
21Points26
0.583Points %0.684
69Goals for64
66Goals against51
3Goal differential13
W5Current streakW3
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK home
10Games9
7Wins6
14Points12
5Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
6-3-1Record5-3-2
13Points12
45Goals for28
40Goals against29
5Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Vegas Golden Knights VGK 4 wins
Total goals30 – 28
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game3.0 / 2.8
Shots per game25.3 / 33.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 2, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 3 20 - 30 View
Feb 1, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 4 31 - 23 View
Nov 22, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 4 32 - 33 View
Nov 8, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 3 29 - 39 View
Dec 23, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 3 32 - 33 View
Dec 4, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 1 33 - 20 View
Nov 13, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 2 39 - 24 View
Oct 13, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 3 23 - 32 View
Apr 18, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 1 23 - 33 View
Dec 27, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
2 - 5 32 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings ANA VGK