Skip to content

Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 19, 2026

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 19, 2026.

November 19, 2026 · 9:00 PM MBT
Away

Anaheim Ducks

10-7-1

33.9%
at
Home

Colorado Avalanche

10-6-2

66.1% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Colorado Avalanche at 66.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Colorado Avalanche logo
Home team

Colorado Avalanche

66.1%
Fair American -195
Fair decimal 1.51
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 19, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
10
Record
7-3
Net units
3.65
ROI
36.5%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
4.80
ROI
60.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
3-2
Net units
0.35
ROI
7.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:51 together · 6 games

xG share55.0%
Corsi for / against
49 / 41
Fenwick for / against
32 / 31
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
2.63 / 2.15
Defense pair

83:48 together · 9 games

xG share38.3%
Corsi for / against
67 / 80
Fenwick for / against
37 / 53
Corsi share
45.6%
Fenwick share
41.1%
xG for / against
2.50 / 4.02
All observed combinations

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

100:15 together · 10 games

xG share55.4%
Corsi for / against
122 / 82
Fenwick for / against
92 / 64
Corsi share
59.8%
Fenwick share
59.0%
xG for / against
6.39 / 5.15
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Nov 19, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Laurent Brossoit

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Nov 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
37.7

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
91.5
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
35.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.01
xG against / game
3.55
xG differential / game
-0.54

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
3.09
xG differential / game
-0.03

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.3
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
6.1

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 18.1% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.6
Corsi share (%)
53.5
Fenwick share (%)
52.7
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 30.4 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Nov 19, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

B. Sennecke Cold · -0.85 P/GP

3 games vs Colorado Avalanche · 0.00 points/game
0.85 points/game across 97 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
M. Granlund Cold · -0.57 P/GP

4 games vs Colorado Avalanche · 0.25 points/game
0.82 points/game across 154 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
2.0
J. LaCombe Cold · -0.52 P/GP

5 games vs Colorado Avalanche · 0.20 points/game
0.72 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.8
R. Poehling Cold · -0.48 P/GP

4 games vs Colorado Avalanche · 0.00 points/game
0.48 points/game across 144 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.5
C. Gauthier Cold · -0.39 P/GP

5 games vs Colorado Avalanche · 0.40 points/game
0.79 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
4.2

Colorado Avalanche

D. Toews Cold · -0.53 P/GP

3 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.53 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.3
P. Kelly Hot · +0.47 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.80 points/game
0.33 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
0
Points
4
Shots / game
2.6
L. O'Connor Hot · +0.44 P/GP

3 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.67 points/game
0.23 points/game across 97 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
0.3
J. Manson Cold · -0.37 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.37 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.5
N. Kadri Cold · -0.35 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.40 points/game
0.75 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Shots / game
3.2
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
21Points22
0.583Points %0.611
69Goals for72
66Goals against56
3Goal differential16
W5Current streakW1
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL home
10Games10
7Wins7
14Points16
5Goal differential20
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
6-3-1Record5-4-1
13Points11
45Goals for36
40Goals against32
5Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Colorado Avalanche COL 8 wins
Total goals23 – 41
Goal differential -18 / +18
Goals per game2.3 / 4.1
Shots per game26.3 / 35.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 3, 2026
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 1 26 - 28 View
Jan 21, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 1 17 - 41 View
Nov 11, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 4 36 - 36 View
Apr 13, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 2 25 - 21 View
Dec 20, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 2 23 - 32 View
Oct 18, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 4 19 - 49 View
Dec 5, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3 33 - 30 View
Dec 2, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 4 37 - 37 View
Nov 15, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 8 17 - 38 View
Apr 9, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 4 46 - 23 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings ANA COL