Skip to content

Winnipeg Jets vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 16, 2027

NHL matchup

Winnipeg Jets at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 16, 2027.

March 16, 2027 · 9:00 PM MBT
Away

Winnipeg Jets

8-8-3

44.8%
at
Home

Los Angeles Kings

5-9-2

55.2% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Los Angeles Kings at 55.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Home team

Los Angeles Kings

55.2%
Fair American -123
Fair decimal 1.81
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 16, 2027.

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
6
Record
2-4
Net units
-2.59
ROI
-43.1%

Value Picks

Bets
11
Record
4-7
Net units
-1.23
ROI
-11.2%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
2-3
Net units
-1.59
ROI
-31.7%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

69:58 together · 10 games

xG share56.7%
Corsi for / against
71 / 67
Fenwick for / against
56 / 50
Corsi share
51.4%
Fenwick share
52.8%
xG for / against
4.08 / 3.12
Defense pair

137:36 together · 10 games

xG share57.9%
Corsi for / against
134 / 86
Fenwick for / against
101 / 65
Corsi share
60.9%
Fenwick share
60.8%
xG for / against
6.42 / 4.67
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

101:18 together · 9 games

xG share62.2%
Corsi for / against
120 / 93
Fenwick for / against
83 / 71
Corsi share
56.3%
Fenwick share
53.9%
xG for / against
6.71 / 4.07
Defense pair

122:11 together · 10 games

xG share44.8%
Corsi for / against
86 / 112
Fenwick for / against
63 / 82
Corsi share
43.4%
Fenwick share
43.4%
xG for / against
4.56 / 5.62
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Mar 16, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Nico Daws

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
102
Save %
92.2
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
24.5

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
30.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
3.24
xG against / game
3.44
xG differential / game
-0.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
3.44
xG against / game
3.08
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.2
Corsi share (%)
49.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.5
Faceoff win %
47.6
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 27.6 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.4
Corsi share (%)
49.9
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 26.9 · Shooting: 12.3% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Mar 16, 2027.

Winnipeg Jets

K. Connor Cold · -0.56 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.60 points/game
1.16 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
2.2
J. Morrissey Cold · -0.56 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.20 points/game
0.76 points/game across 156 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.4
N. Pionk Cold · -0.47 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.47 points/game across 135 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.8
G. Vilardi Hot · +0.41 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.20 points/game
0.79 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
5
Points
6
Shots / game
1.2
A. Lowry Cold · -0.39 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.39 points/game across 157 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.6

Los Angeles Kings

A. Laferriere Cold · -0.56 P/GP

5 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 0.00 points/game
0.56 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.6
A. Kempe Hot · +0.52 P/GP

5 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 1.40 points/game
0.88 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
3
Points
7
Shots / game
2.8
C. Perry Hot · +0.34 P/GP

4 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 0.75 points/game
0.41 points/game across 163 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
2.0
T. Moore Cold · -0.30 P/GP

5 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 0.20 points/game
0.50 points/game across 151 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
1.4
B. Clarke Cold · -0.28 P/GP

5 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 0.20 points/game
0.48 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.2
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
19Points12
0.500Points %0.375
53Goals for45
65Goals against55
-12Goal differential-10
W4Current streakL2
Road versus home
Winnipeg Jets WPG road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
9Games8
3Wins2
8Points4
-12Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Winnipeg Jets WPG
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
4-5-1Record5-5-0
9Points10
29Goals for33
39Goals against30
-10Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Winnipeg Jets WPG 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 6 wins
Total goals22 – 30
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.2 / 3.0
Shots per game23.6 / 27.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 9, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 5 24 - 19 View
Nov 4, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
0 - 3 23 - 26 View
Oct 11, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 3 32 - 27 View
Apr 1, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 4 20 - 20 View
Jan 10, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 1 23 - 19 View
Nov 27, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 4 14 - 33 View
Apr 1, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 4 28 - 32 View
Dec 13, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 2 29 - 34 View
Oct 17, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
5 - 1 29 - 27 View
Mar 25, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 4 26 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings WPG LAK