Away team
Vegas Golden Knights
56.5%
Fair American
-130
Fair decimal
1.77
Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 12, 2026.
December 12, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Vegas Golden Knights
at 56.5%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Toronto Maple Leafs
43.5%
Fair American
+130
Fair decimal
2.3
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 78 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 265 | Goals for | 253 |
| 250 | Goals against | 299 |
| 15 | Goal differential | -46 |
| W3 | Current streak | L5 |
Road versus home
|
VGK road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 19 | Wins | 18 |
| 46 | Points | 44 |
| -4 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-0-3 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 17 | Points | 5 |
| 40 | Goals for | 28 |
| 25 | Goals against | 47 |
| 15 | Goal differential | -19 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
VGK
6 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
4 wins
Total goals36 – 34
Goal differential
+2
/
-2
Goals per game3.6 / 3.4
Shots per game29.1 / 28.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
6 - 3 | 31 - 21 | View |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
5 - 6 | 28 - 33 | View |
| Mar 5, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 25 | View |
| Nov 20, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 3 | 31 - 26 | View |
| Feb 27, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
6 - 2 | 32 - 30 | View |
| Feb 22, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
7 - 3 | 42 - 26 | View |
| Nov 8, 2022 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 3 | 20 - 31 | View |
| Oct 24, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
1 - 3 | 23 - 33 | View |
| Jan 11, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Vegas Golden Knights
|
4 - 3 | 18 - 34 | View |
| Nov 2, 2021 |
Vegas Golden Knights
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 4 | 26 - 33 | View |