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Vegas Golden Knights vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 7, 2027

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 7, 2027.

March 7, 2027 · 7:00 PM MBT
Away

Vegas Golden Knights

13-5-2

48.2%
at
Home

New York Rangers

11-8-1

51.8% Model pick
Model V2 pick: New York Rangers at 51.8%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vegas Golden Knights logo
Away team

Vegas Golden Knights

48.2%
Fair American +107
Fair decimal 2.07
Calculate value
New York Rangers logo
Home team

New York Rangers

51.8%
Fair American -107
Fair decimal 1.93
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 7, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

64:32 together · 10 games

xG share43.3%
Corsi for / against
53 / 61
Fenwick for / against
37 / 40
Corsi share
46.5%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
1.93 / 2.53
Defense pair

152:24 together · 10 games

xG share59.4%
Corsi for / against
134 / 138
Fenwick for / against
104 / 94
Corsi share
49.3%
Fenwick share
52.5%
xG for / against
7.43 / 5.09
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

151:16 together · 10 games

xG share59.8%
Corsi for / against
159 / 137
Fenwick for / against
112 / 102
Corsi share
53.7%
Fenwick share
52.3%
xG for / against
7.16 / 4.81
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Mar 7, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Vegas Golden Knights

C. Hart
GP
11
Starts
10
Wins
6
Save %
0.896
GAA
2.53
A. Hill
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
7
Save %
0.903
GAA
2.54
C. Whitehead
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Carter Hart

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Nov 11

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
111
Save %
87.4
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
22.5

Joonas Korpisalo

New York Rangers · Last start: Nov 11

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
58
Save %
93.1
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
27.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
2.97
xG against / game
2.89
xG differential / game
0.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.23
xG against / game
2.78
xG differential / game
0.45

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
46.9
Fenwick share (%)
49.9
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.4
Corsi share (%)
50.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.4
Faceoff win %
55.1
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 27.9 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Mar 7, 2027.

Vegas Golden Knights

I. Barbashev Cold · -0.75 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.75 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.5
M. Marner Cold · -0.55 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.60 points/game
1.15 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
1.0
V. Olofsson Cold · -0.51 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.51 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
R. Andersson Cold · -0.47 P/GP

3 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.47 points/game across 179 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
P. Wotherspoon Cold · -0.27 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.27 points/game across 137 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.6

New York Rangers

M. Zibanejad Hot · +0.65 P/GP

4 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 1.50 points/game
0.85 points/game across 179 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
4
Points
6
Shots / game
3.5
A. Fox Cold · -0.59 P/GP

3 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.33 points/game
0.92 points/game across 146 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.7
O. Bjorkstrand Hot · +0.32 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.80 points/game
0.48 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
3.0
T. Raddysh Cold · -0.31 P/GP

3 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.31 points/game across 151 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.7
M. Pettersson Cold · -0.29 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.29 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.4
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
28Points23
0.700Points %0.575
69Goals for59
54Goals against56
15Goal differential3
W4Current streakW1
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
10Games10
6Wins8
14Points16
5Goal differential16
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
5-3-2Record5-5-0
12Points10
27Goals for31
30Goals against34
-3Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 6 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 4 wins
Total goals29 – 25
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game2.9 / 2.5
Shots per game29.2 / 29.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 7, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 29 - 23 View
Nov 18, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 3 19 - 26 View
Feb 2, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 4 36 - 28 View
Jan 11, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 1 26 - 30 View
Jan 26, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 2 20 - 38 View
Jan 18, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 5 30 - 26 View
Jan 27, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 34 - 40 View
Dec 7, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 1 37 - 26 View
Jan 6, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 5 20 - 35 View
Dec 17, 2021
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 30 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VGK NYR