Skip to content

Vegas Golden Knights vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 1, 2026

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 1, 2026.

December 1, 2026 · 10:00 PM MBT
Away

Vegas Golden Knights

12-5-2

49.5%
at
Home

Los Angeles Kings

5-9-2

50.5% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Los Angeles Kings at 50.5%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vegas Golden Knights logo
Away team

Vegas Golden Knights

49.5%
Fair American +102
Fair decimal 2.02
Calculate value
Los Angeles Kings logo
Home team

Los Angeles Kings

50.5%
Fair American -102
Fair decimal 1.98
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 1, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

74:24 together · 10 games

xG share43.0%
Corsi for / against
60 / 69
Fenwick for / against
41 / 48
Corsi share
46.5%
Fenwick share
46.1%
xG for / against
2.28 / 3.02
Defense pair

150:18 together · 10 games

xG share60.9%
Corsi for / against
134 / 122
Fenwick for / against
103 / 84
Corsi share
52.3%
Fenwick share
55.1%
xG for / against
7.22 / 4.64
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

101:18 together · 9 games

xG share62.2%
Corsi for / against
120 / 93
Fenwick for / against
83 / 71
Corsi share
56.3%
Fenwick share
53.9%
xG for / against
6.71 / 4.07
Defense pair

122:11 together · 10 games

xG share44.8%
Corsi for / against
86 / 112
Fenwick for / against
63 / 82
Corsi share
43.4%
Fenwick share
43.4%
xG for / against
4.56 / 5.62
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 1, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Vegas Golden Knights

C. Hart
GP
10
Starts
9
Wins
5
Save %
0.900
GAA
2.49
A. Hill
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
7
Save %
0.903
GAA
2.54
C. Whitehead
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Adin Hill

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Nov 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
90.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.4

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
30.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
2.84
xG against / game
2.94
xG differential / game
-0.10

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
3.44
xG against / game
3.08
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.6
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.4
Corsi share (%)
49.9
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 26.9 · Shooting: 12.3% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 1, 2026.

Vegas Golden Knights

M. Stone Hot · +1.16 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 2.20 points/game
1.04 points/game across 137 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
9
Points
11
Shots / game
2.0
J. Eichel Hot · +0.99 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 2.20 points/game
1.21 points/game across 162 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
9
Points
11
Shots / game
4.0
B. McNabb Hot · +0.57 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.80 points/game
0.23 points/game across 157 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
1.2
P. Wotherspoon Hot · +0.50 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.75 points/game
0.25 points/game across 137 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
1.0
R. Andersson Cold · -0.48 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.48 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.4

Los Angeles Kings

A. Laferriere Cold · -0.57 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.57 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.4
B. Clarke Hot · +0.56 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 1.00 points/game
0.44 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
2
Points
5
Shots / game
2.2
A. Panarin Hot · +0.52 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 1.60 points/game
1.08 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
6
Points
8
Shots / game
2.6
M. Anderson Cold · -0.28 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.28 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.6
S. Laughton Hot · +0.26 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.60 points/game
0.34 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
1.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
26Points12
0.684Points %0.375
64Goals for45
51Goals against55
13Goal differential-10
W3Current streakL2
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
10Games8
6Wins2
14Points4
5Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
5-3-2Record5-5-0
12Points10
28Goals for33
29Goals against30
-1Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 4 wins
Total goals39 – 34
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game3.9 / 3.4
Shots per game28.4 / 27.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 10, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 2 27 - 32 View
Feb 25, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
6 - 4 25 - 19 View
Feb 5, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 4 33 - 22 View
Jan 14, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 2 27 - 24 View
Oct 8, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
6 - 5 26 - 35 View
Mar 9, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
6 - 5 35 - 32 View
Feb 24, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 5 23 - 19 View
Oct 30, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 6 26 - 27 View
Oct 22, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 6 35 - 30 View
Dec 28, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 3 34 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VGK LAK