Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 11, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche matchup on April 11, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Colorado Avalanche a 64.2% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Colorado Avalanche
(64.2%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
April 11, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Vegas Golden Knights
35.8%
Fair American: +179
Fair Decimal: 2.79
Best Market: +116 · BetOnline.ag
Market Implied: 46.3%
Edge: -10.5%
EV: -22.7%
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Colorado Avalanche
64.2%
Fair American: -179
Fair Decimal: 1.56
Best Market: -128 · FanDuel
Market Implied: 56.1%
Edge: +8.1%
EV: +14.4%
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
VGK
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 95 | Points | 121 |
| 0.579 | Points % | 0.738 |
| 265 | Goals For | 302 |
| 250 | Goals Against | 203 |
| 15 | Goal Differential | 99 |
| W3 | Current Streak | W3 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
VGK (Road)
|
Metric |
COL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 19 | Wins | 26 |
| 46 | Points | 58 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | 49 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
VGK
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-0-3 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 17 | Points | 15 |
| 40 | Goals For | 34 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 15 | Goal Differential | 14 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
VGK
|
H2H Summary |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 32 | Total Goals | 30 |
| +2 | Goal Differential | -2 |
| 3.2 | Goals / Game | 3.0 |
| 25.7 | Shots / Game | 32.9 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
6 - 5 | 38 - 25 | View |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
4 - 2 | 26 - 23 | View |
| Apr 8, 2025 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Colorado Avalanche
@
|
2 - 3 | 21 - 36 | View |
| Nov 27, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Colorado Avalanche
@
|
1 - 2 | 19 - 34 | View |
| Oct 9, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
4 - 8 | 32 - 21 | View |
| Apr 14, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
3 - 4 | 24 - 30 | View |
| Jan 10, 2024 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Colorado Avalanche
@
|
0 - 3 | 25 - 35 | View |
| Nov 4, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
@
Vegas Golden Knights
@
|
0 - 7 | 41 - 34 | View |
| Feb 27, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Colorado Avalanche
@
|
0 - 3 | 31 - 34 | View |
| Jan 2, 2023 |
Vegas Golden Knights
@
Colorado Avalanche
@
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 29 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.