Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 11, 2026

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 11, 2026.

April 11, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Adin Hill

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Apr 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
128
Save %
87.5
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
25.8

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Apr 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
121
Save %
87.6
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
36.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.48
xG against / game
2.43
xG differential / game
1.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.34
xG against / game
2.77
xG differential / game
0.58

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 11, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.6
Attempt share
57.2
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 32.3 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.0
Attempt share
55.4
Faceoff win %
49.7
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 31.9 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
14Points9
0.778Points %0.643
36Goals for31
22Goals against22
14Goal differential9
W2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL home
4Games4
3Wins2
6Points5
6Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
7-2-0Record4-2-1
14Points9
36Goals for31
22Goals against22
14Goal differential9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Colorado Avalanche COL 6 wins
Total goals32 – 30
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game3.2 / 3.0
Shots per game25.7 / 32.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 27, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
6 - 5 38 - 25 View
Oct 31, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 2 26 - 23 View
Apr 8, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3 21 - 36 View
Nov 27, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 2 19 - 34 View
Oct 9, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 8 32 - 21 View
Apr 14, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 4 24 - 30 View
Jan 10, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
0 - 3 25 - 35 View
Nov 4, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
0 - 7 41 - 34 View
Feb 27, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
0 - 3 31 - 34 View
Jan 2, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 2 28 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.