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St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 12, 2026

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 12, 2026.

December 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM MBT
Away

St. Louis Blues

7-8-2

48.5%
at
Home

Dallas Stars

10-5-2

51.5% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Dallas Stars at 51.5%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Away team

St. Louis Blues

48.5%
Fair American +106
Fair decimal 2.06
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 12, 2026.

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-14.3%

Value Picks

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—

Market Favourite

Bets
15
Record
9-6
Net units
-0.62
ROI
-4.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

73:04 together · 10 games

xG share50.4%
Corsi for / against
61 / 79
Fenwick for / against
47 / 54
Corsi share
43.6%
Fenwick share
46.5%
xG for / against
2.97 / 2.92
All observed combinations

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

53:27 together · 10 games

xG share53.8%
Corsi for / against
39 / 43
Fenwick for / against
29 / 23
Corsi share
47.6%
Fenwick share
55.8%
xG for / against
2.03 / 1.74
Defense pair

81:03 together · 8 games

xG share69.2%
Corsi for / against
92 / 57
Fenwick for / against
63 / 31
Corsi share
61.7%
Fenwick share
67.0%
xG for / against
4.74 / 2.11
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 12, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
155
Save %
91.6
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
27.1

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
85.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
33.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.78
xG against / game
3.02
xG differential / game
-0.24

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.0
Corsi share (%)
48.0
Fenwick share (%)
47.0
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
2.3

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.0
Corsi share (%)
51.2
Fenwick share (%)
53.3
Faceoff win %
58.4
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 12, 2026.

St. Louis Blues

J. Snuggerud Hot · +0.73 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 1.40 points/game
0.67 points/game across 89 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
4
Points
7
Shots / game
2.2
R. Thomas Cold · -0.66 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.40 points/game
1.06 points/game across 146 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
1.2
D. Holloway Cold · -0.64 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.20 points/game
0.84 points/game across 148 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
2.0
P. Suter Hot · +0.50 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 1.00 points/game
0.50 points/game across 156 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
1
Points
5
Shots / game
2.6
D. Dvorsky Hot · +0.48 P/GP

4 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.75 points/game
0.27 points/game across 86 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
1.8

Dallas Stars

M. Rantanen Cold · -0.56 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.60 points/game
1.16 points/game across 158 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.6
J. Hryckowian Cold · -0.33 P/GP

4 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.00 points/game
0.33 points/game across 99 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.3
R. Faksa Cold · -0.25 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.00 points/game
0.25 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.6
C. Blackwell Cold · -0.23 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.00 points/game
0.23 points/game across 141 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.2
O. Bäck Cold · -0.20 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.00 points/game
0.20 points/game across 145 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
16Points22
0.471Points %0.647
50Goals for49
53Goals against41
-3Goal differential8
L1Current streakW1
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
10Games10
3Wins6
7Points12
-6Goal differential1
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
4-5-1Record7-2-1
9Points15
25Goals for33
30Goals against28
-5Goal differential5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 7 wins
Total goals23 – 26
Goal differential -3 / +3
Goals per game2.3 / 2.6
Shots per game25.9 / 26.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 2, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 0 24 - 25 View
Feb 4, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 5 18 - 28 View
Jan 27, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 3 24 - 26 View
Jan 23, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 3 22 - 19 View
Oct 18, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 3 19 - 22 View
Mar 2, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 6 42 - 21 View
Jan 25, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 0 19 - 33 View
Dec 14, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 16 - 37 View
Apr 17, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 2 26 - 37 View
Dec 27, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 2 40 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings STL DAL