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Philadelphia Flyers vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 3, 2027

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 3, 2027.

January 3, 2027 · 8:00 PM MBT
Away

Philadelphia Flyers

5-10-5

37.0%
at
Home

Anaheim Ducks

10-7-1

63.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Anaheim Ducks at 63.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Philadelphia Flyers logo
Away team

Philadelphia Flyers

37.0%
Fair American +170
Fair decimal 2.7
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 3, 2027.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
10
Record
7-3
Net units
3.65
ROI
36.5%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
4.80
ROI
60.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
3-2
Net units
0.35
ROI
7.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

76:15 together · 9 games

xG share55.6%
Corsi for / against
55 / 68
Fenwick for / against
33 / 41
Corsi share
44.7%
Fenwick share
44.6%
xG for / against
2.69 / 2.14
Defense pair

106:10 together · 10 games

xG share49.9%
Corsi for / against
95 / 92
Fenwick for / against
69 / 66
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
51.1%
xG for / against
4.73 / 4.75
All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:51 together · 6 games

xG share55.0%
Corsi for / against
49 / 41
Fenwick for / against
32 / 31
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
2.63 / 2.15
Defense pair

83:48 together · 9 games

xG share38.3%
Corsi for / against
67 / 80
Fenwick for / against
37 / 53
Corsi share
45.6%
Fenwick share
41.1%
xG for / against
2.50 / 4.02
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 3, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Philadelphia Flyers

D. Vladar
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
3
Save %
0.880
GAA
3.27
J. Woll
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
2
Save %
0.901
GAA
2.91
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.0

Laurent Brossoit

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Nov 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
37.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
-0.04

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.01
xG against / game
3.55
xG differential / game
-0.54

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.8
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.7
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.3
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
6.1

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 18.1% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 3, 2027.

Philadelphia Flyers

C. York Hot · +0.73 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.00 points/game
0.27 points/game across 149 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
2.5
T. Zegras Hot · +0.63 P/GP

3 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.33 points/game
0.70 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
2.3
N. Cates Hot · +0.52 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.00 points/game
0.48 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
3
Points
5
Shots / game
2.2
D. Barkey Cold · -0.44 P/GP

3 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.44 points/game across 57 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
T. Sanheim Hot · +0.40 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.80 points/game
0.40 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
1.6

Anaheim Ducks

M. Granlund Cold · -0.62 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.20 points/game
0.82 points/game across 152 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
0.4
B. Sennecke Cold · -0.50 P/GP

3 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.33 points/game
0.84 points/game across 97 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
1.7
F. Vatrano Cold · -0.42 P/GP

3 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.42 points/game across 137 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.3
L. Carlsson Cold · -0.24 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.60 points/game
0.84 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
1.8
D. Helleson Cold · -0.24 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.24 points/game across 123 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.3
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
15Points21
0.375Points %0.583
45Goals for69
66Goals against66
-21Goal differential3
W1Current streakW5
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA home
10Games8
2Wins3
6Points7
-11Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Anaheim Ducks ANA
4-4-2Record6-3-1
10Points13
31Goals for45
32Goals against40
-1Goal differential5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Anaheim Ducks ANA 3 wins
Total goals43 – 28
Goal differential +15 / -15
Goals per game4.3 / 2.8
Shots per game32.5 / 28.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 24, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 4 26 - 32 View
Mar 18, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 2 28 - 36 View
Jan 6, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 5 18 - 39 View
Jan 11, 2025
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
0 - 6 22 - 30 View
Dec 28, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 1 25 - 33 View
Nov 10, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
6 - 3 36 - 38 View
Oct 28, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
7 - 4 25 - 30 View
Jan 17, 2023
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 5 27 - 39 View
Jan 2, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
4 - 1 33 - 29 View
Apr 9, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 3 34 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PHI ANA