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New York Rangers vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 13, 2027

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 13, 2027.

March 13, 2027 · 10:00 PM MBT
Away

New York Rangers

10-8-1

34.3%
at
Home

Vegas Golden Knights

12-5-2

65.7% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Vegas Golden Knights at 65.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Away team

New York Rangers

34.3%
Fair American +192
Fair decimal 2.92
Calculate value
Vegas Golden Knights logo
Home team

Vegas Golden Knights

65.7%
Fair American -192
Fair decimal 1.52
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 13, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

9 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Partial coverage: 9 / 10 selected games. Results use validated games only. Games awaiting complete shift or play-by-play data are excluded, not counted as zero or replaced by older games.

Defense pair

135:06 together · 9 games

xG share59.7%
Corsi for / against
143 / 124
Fenwick for / against
99 / 92
Corsi share
53.6%
Fenwick share
51.8%
xG for / against
6.28 / 4.23
All observed combinations

Vegas Golden Knights

9 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Partial coverage: 9 / 10 selected games. Results use validated games only. Games awaiting complete shift or play-by-play data are excluded, not counted as zero or replaced by older games.

Forward trio

64:14 together · 9 games

xG share43.3%
Corsi for / against
53 / 61
Fenwick for / against
37 / 40
Corsi share
46.5%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
1.93 / 2.53
Defense pair

134:36 together · 9 games

xG share62.0%
Corsi for / against
120 / 113
Fenwick for / against
92 / 76
Corsi share
51.5%
Fenwick share
54.8%
xG for / against
6.62 / 4.05
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Mar 13, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Vegas Golden Knights

C. Hart
GP
11
Starts
10
Wins
6
Save %
0.896
GAA
2.53
A. Hill
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
7
Save %
0.903
GAA
2.54
C. Whitehead
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dylan Garand

New York Rangers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
91.5
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
27.4

Adin Hill

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Nov 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
90.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.37
xG against / game
2.83
xG differential / game
0.54

9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
2.90
xG against / game
2.93
xG differential / game
-0.03

9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.1
Corsi share (%)
51.4
Fenwick share (%)
51.1
Faceoff win %
54.1
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.6
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Mar 13, 2027.

New York Rangers

M. Zibanejad Hot · +0.65 P/GP

4 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 1.50 points/game
0.85 points/game across 179 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
4
Points
6
Shots / game
3.5
A. Fox Cold · -0.59 P/GP

3 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.33 points/game
0.92 points/game across 146 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.7
O. Bjorkstrand Hot · +0.32 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.80 points/game
0.48 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
3.0
T. Raddysh Cold · -0.31 P/GP

3 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.31 points/game across 151 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.7
M. Pettersson Cold · -0.29 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.29 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.4

Vegas Golden Knights

I. Barbashev Cold · -0.75 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.75 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.5
M. Marner Cold · -0.55 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.60 points/game
1.15 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
1.0
V. Olofsson Cold · -0.51 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.51 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
R. Andersson Cold · -0.47 P/GP

3 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.47 points/game across 179 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
P. Wotherspoon Cold · -0.27 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.27 points/game across 137 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.6
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
21Points26
0.553Points %0.684
56Goals for64
55Goals against51
1Goal differential13
L1Current streakW3
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK home
9Games9
2Wins6
5Points12
-15Goal differential8
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
4-5-1Record5-3-2
9Points12
28Goals for28
34Goals against29
-6Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Vegas Golden Knights VGK 6 wins
Total goals25 – 29
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game2.5 / 2.9
Shots per game29.0 / 29.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 7, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 29 - 23 View
Nov 18, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 3 19 - 26 View
Feb 2, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 4 36 - 28 View
Jan 11, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 1 26 - 30 View
Jan 26, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 2 20 - 38 View
Jan 18, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 5 30 - 26 View
Jan 27, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 34 - 40 View
Dec 7, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
5 - 1 37 - 26 View
Jan 6, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 5 20 - 35 View
Dec 17, 2021
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 30 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYR VGK