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New York Rangers vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 23, 2027

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 23, 2027.

January 23, 2027 · 8:00 PM MBT
Away

New York Rangers

11-8-1

39.8%
at
Home

Minnesota Wild

13-3-4

60.2% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 60.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

New York Rangers logo
Away team

New York Rangers

39.8%
Fair American +151
Fair decimal 2.51
Calculate value
Minnesota Wild logo
Home team

Minnesota Wild

60.2%
Fair American -151
Fair decimal 1.66
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 23, 2027.

Minnesota Wild

All Model Picks

Bets
12
Record
9-3
Net units
2.86
ROI
23.8%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
3-4
Net units
-1.64
ROI
-23.4%

Market Favourite

Bets
14
Record
11-3
Net units
4.36
ROI
31.2%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

151:16 together · 10 games

xG share59.8%
Corsi for / against
159 / 137
Fenwick for / against
112 / 102
Corsi share
53.7%
Fenwick share
52.3%
xG for / against
7.16 / 4.81
All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

112:44 together · 10 games

xG share52.4%
Corsi for / against
118 / 100
Fenwick for / against
86 / 78
Corsi share
54.1%
Fenwick share
52.4%
xG for / against
5.72 / 5.19
Defense pair

127:00 together · 10 games

xG share44.8%
Corsi for / against
130 / 118
Fenwick for / against
91 / 86
Corsi share
52.4%
Fenwick share
51.4%
xG for / against
5.04 / 6.20
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 23, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joonas Korpisalo

New York Rangers · Last start: Nov 11

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
58
Save %
93.1
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
27.6

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
130
Save %
93.1
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
25.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.23
xG against / game
2.78
xG differential / game
0.45

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game
3.42
xG against / game
2.78
xG differential / game
0.64

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.4
Corsi share (%)
50.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.4
Faceoff win %
55.1
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 27.9 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.6
Corsi share (%)
50.6
Fenwick share (%)
52.0
Faceoff win %
44.1
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 23, 2027.

New York Rangers

P. Dorofeyev Hot · +0.73 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 1.40 points/game
0.67 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
3
Points
7
Shots / game
4.0
A. Lafrenière Cold · -0.68 P/GP

4 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.00 points/game
0.68 points/game across 180 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.8
M. Zibanejad Cold · -0.63 P/GP

4 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.25 points/game
0.88 points/game across 179 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
3.3
E. Tolvanen Cold · -0.45 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.00 points/game
0.45 points/game across 173 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.0
V. Gavrikov Hot · +0.43 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.80 points/game
0.37 points/game across 179 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
0.8

Minnesota Wild

N. Foligno Cold · -0.38 P/GP

3 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.38 points/game across 134 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
M. Foligno Cold · -0.31 P/GP

3 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.31 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
O. Maatta Cold · -0.29 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.29 points/game across 132 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
M. Boldy Cold · -0.24 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 0.75 points/game
0.99 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
3.3
M. McCarron Cold · -0.23 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.00 points/game
0.23 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.4
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
23Points30
0.575Points %0.750
59Goals for65
56Goals against44
3Goal differential21
W1Current streakW1
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN home
10Games7
3Wins5
7Points12
-13Goal differential8
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Minnesota Wild MIN
5-5-0Record7-1-2
10Points16
31Goals for34
34Goals against19
-3Goal differential15
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Minnesota Wild MIN 4 wins
Total goals36 – 31
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game3.6 / 3.1
Shots per game28.8 / 32.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 14, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 2 18 - 48 View
Oct 20, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 1 32 - 24 View
Apr 2, 2025
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 5 24 - 39 View
Mar 13, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
3 - 2 31 - 28 View
Nov 9, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 4 26 - 28 View
Nov 4, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
4 - 5 18 - 39 View
Jan 10, 2023
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 4 32 - 43 View
Oct 13, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
7 - 3 35 - 36 View
Mar 8, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
2 - 5 25 - 28 View
Jan 28, 2022
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 34 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings NYR MIN