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Edmonton Oilers vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 28, 2026

NHL matchup

Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 28, 2026.

November 28, 2026 · 10:00 PM MBT
Away

Edmonton Oilers

13-3-3

52.5% Model pick
at
Home

Seattle Kraken

9-6-1

47.5%
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 52.5%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Edmonton Oilers logo
Away team

Edmonton Oilers

52.5%
Fair American -111
Fair decimal 1.9
Calculate value
Seattle Kraken logo
Home team

Seattle Kraken

47.5%
Fair American +111
Fair decimal 2.11
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 28, 2026.

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Bets
8
Record
5-3
Net units
1.66
ROI
20.7%

Value Picks

Bets
14
Record
7-7
Net units
1.54
ROI
11.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
3-1
Net units
1.37
ROI
34.2%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

133:51 together · 10 games

xG share43.8%
Corsi for / against
103 / 141
Fenwick for / against
77 / 105
Corsi share
42.2%
Fenwick share
42.3%
xG for / against
4.01 / 5.15
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

65:33 together · 8 games

xG share41.5%
Corsi for / against
50 / 69
Fenwick for / against
35 / 47
Corsi share
42.0%
Fenwick share
42.7%
xG for / against
2.06 / 2.90
Defense pair

148:29 together · 9 games

xG share47.5%
Corsi for / against
127 / 156
Fenwick for / against
98 / 114
Corsi share
44.9%
Fenwick share
46.2%
xG for / against
6.04 / 6.68
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Nov 28, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Edmonton Oilers

D. Levi
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
8
Save %
0.898
GAA
2.75
T. Jarry
GP
8
Starts
7
Wins
4
Save %
0.903
GAA
2.57
M. Tomkins
GP
2
Starts
2
Wins
1
Save %
0.878
GAA
3.09
B. Epp
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Devon Levi

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
89.5
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
35.3

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
121
Save %
85.1
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
27.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
2.78
xG against / game
2.83
xG differential / game
-0.05

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.52
xG against / game
3.29
xG differential / game
-0.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.3
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
4.7

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 13.9% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.0
Corsi share (%)
44.6
Fenwick share (%)
44.5
Faceoff win %
52.6
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Nov 28, 2026.

Edmonton Oilers

R. Nugent-Hopkins Hot · +0.72 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 1.40 points/game
0.68 points/game across 152 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
6
Points
7
Shots / game
1.8
Z. Hyman Hot · +0.50 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 1.20 points/game
0.70 points/game across 132 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
3
Points
6
Shots / game
2.2
L. Draisaitl Hot · +0.48 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 2.00 points/game
1.52 points/game across 149 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
7
Points
10
Shots / game
3.8
M. Ekholm Hot · +0.32 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.80 points/game
0.48 points/game across 156 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
4
Points
4
Shots / game
0.6
J. Dickinson Cold · -0.29 P/GP

4 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.00 points/game
0.29 points/game across 129 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.5

Seattle Kraken

J. Nyman Hot · +1.04 P/GP

4 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 1.25 points/game
0.21 points/game across 39 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
3
Points
5
Shots / game
1.8
V. Dunn Cold · -0.59 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.00 points/game
0.59 points/game across 150 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.6
C. Stephenson Cold · -0.46 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.20 points/game
0.66 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
0.8
B. Montour Cold · -0.36 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.20 points/game
0.56 points/game across 151 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
2.6
A. Larsson Cold · -0.31 P/GP

5 games vs Edmonton Oilers · 0.00 points/game
0.31 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.8
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
29Points19
0.763Points %0.594
78Goals for57
56Goals against57
22Goal differential0
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Edmonton Oilers EDM road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
8Games8
7Wins5
15Points10
20Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Edmonton Oilers EDM
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
6-2-2Record5-4-1
14Points11
37Goals for31
29Goals against40
8Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Edmonton Oilers EDM 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 2 wins
Total goals37 – 23
Goal differential +14 / -14
Goals per game3.7 / 2.3
Shots per game29.2 / 26.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 3, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 3 20 - 25 View
Mar 31, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
0 - 3 27 - 24 View
Dec 4, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 9 32 - 32 View
Nov 29, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 0 25 - 26 View
Oct 25, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 3 33 - 23 View
Mar 27, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 6 37 - 37 View
Mar 22, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 5 32 - 29 View
Jan 27, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 4 28 - 31 View
Jan 4, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 2 32 - 18 View
Mar 2, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 1 24 - 25 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings EDM SEA