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Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 20, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 20, 2026.

December 20, 2026 · 5:00 PM MBT
Away

Dallas Stars

10-5-2

46.0%
at
Home

Winnipeg Jets

7-8-3

54.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Winnipeg Jets at 54.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 20, 2026.

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-14.3%

Value Picks

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—

Market Favourite

Bets
15
Record
9-6
Net units
-0.62
ROI
-4.1%
Full team betting results

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
6
Record
2-4
Net units
-2.59
ROI
-43.1%

Value Picks

Bets
10
Record
3-7
Net units
-2.56
ROI
-25.6%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
2-3
Net units
-1.59
ROI
-31.7%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

53:27 together · 10 games

xG share53.8%
Corsi for / against
39 / 43
Fenwick for / against
29 / 23
Corsi share
47.6%
Fenwick share
55.8%
xG for / against
2.03 / 1.74
Defense pair

81:03 together · 8 games

xG share69.2%
Corsi for / against
92 / 57
Fenwick for / against
63 / 31
Corsi share
61.7%
Fenwick share
67.0%
xG for / against
4.74 / 2.11
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

56:32 together · 10 games

xG share52.1%
Corsi for / against
54 / 58
Fenwick for / against
41 / 44
Corsi share
48.2%
Fenwick share
48.2%
xG for / against
3.16 / 2.90
Defense pair

139:31 together · 10 games

xG share58.7%
Corsi for / against
146 / 86
Fenwick for / against
112 / 65
Corsi share
62.9%
Fenwick share
63.3%
xG for / against
6.88 / 4.85
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 20, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
85.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
33.9

Stuart Skinner

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Nov 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
107
Save %
82.2
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
38.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
3.27
xG against / game
3.50
xG differential / game
-0.23

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.0
Corsi share (%)
51.2
Fenwick share (%)
53.3
Faceoff win %
58.4
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.0
Corsi share (%)
50.3
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
47.0
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 9.2% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 20, 2026.

Dallas Stars

M. Rantanen Hot · +1.05 P/GP

5 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 2.20 points/game
1.15 points/game across 151 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
9
Points
11
Shots / game
1.0
T. Seguin Cold · -0.47 P/GP

4 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 0.25 points/game
0.72 points/game across 60 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
2.8
N. Lundkvist Hot · +0.44 P/GP

5 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 0.60 points/game
0.16 points/game across 101 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
0.8
D. Perron Cold · -0.40 P/GP

3 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 0.00 points/game
0.40 points/game across 109 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.7
R. Hintz Hot · +0.35 P/GP

5 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 1.20 points/game
0.85 points/game across 139 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
3
Points
6
Shots / game
3.4

Winnipeg Jets

V. Namestnikov Cold · -0.37 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.37 points/game across 137 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.4
M. Scheifele Hot · +0.27 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 1.40 points/game
1.13 points/game across 173 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
5
Points
7
Shots / game
2.0
K. Connor Hot · +0.27 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 1.40 points/game
1.13 points/game across 173 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
3
Points
7
Shots / game
4.2
N. Pionk Cold · -0.26 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.20 points/game
0.46 points/game across 131 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.8
C. Koepke Cold · -0.25 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.25 points/game across 147 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.4
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
22Points17
0.647Points %0.472
49Goals for49
41Goals against63
8Goal differential-14
W1Current streakW3
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
7Games9
4Wins4
10Points9
7Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
7-2-1Record3-6-1
15Points7
33Goals for26
28Goals against39
5Goal differential-13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 4 wins
Total goals24 – 28
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game2.4 / 2.8
Shots per game28.1 / 25.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 22, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 3 19 - 38 View
Apr 2, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
0 - 3 22 - 21 View
Feb 2, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 4 27 - 28 View
Dec 9, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 3 19 - 33 View
Oct 9, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
5 - 4 37 - 25 View
Apr 10, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
4 - 0 35 - 25 View
Mar 14, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 4 25 - 22 View
Dec 1, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 3 27 - 31 View
Nov 9, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 4 33 - 25 View
Apr 11, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 0 24 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings DAL WPG