Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, Odds & Win Probability | January 30, 2027

January 30, 2027 · 9:00 PM MBT

Away

Dallas Stars

10-5-2

38.6%

Home

Minnesota Wild

13-3-4

61.4% Model pick

Model V2 pick: Minnesota Wild at 61.4%

Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Away team

Dallas Stars

38.6%

Fair American +159

Fair decimal 2.59

Calculate value

Home team

Minnesota Wild

61.4%

Fair American -159

Fair decimal 1.63

Calculate value

Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 30, 2027.

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Bets: 7
Record: 4-3
Net units: -1.00
ROI: -14.3%

Value Picks

Bets: 0
Record: 0-0
Net units: 0.00
ROI: —

Market Favourite

Bets: 15
Record: 9-6
Net units: -0.62
ROI: -4.1%

Full team betting results

Minnesota Wild

All Model Picks

Bets: 12
Record: 9-3
Net units: 2.86
ROI: 23.8%

Value Picks

Bets: 7
Record: 3-4
Net units: -1.64
ROI: -23.4%

Market Favourite

Bets: 14
Record: 11-3
Net units: 4.36
ROI: 31.2%

Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 30. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

53:27 together · 10 games

xG share53.8%

Corsi for / against: 39 / 43
Fenwick for / against: 29 / 23
Corsi share: 47.6%
Fenwick share: 55.8%
xG for / against: 2.03 / 1.74

Defense pair

81:03 together · 8 games

xG share69.2%

Corsi for / against: 92 / 57
Fenwick for / against: 63 / 31
Corsi share: 61.7%
Fenwick share: 67.0%
xG for / against: 4.74 / 2.11

All observed combinations

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

112:44 together · 10 games

xG share52.4%

Corsi for / against: 118 / 100
Fenwick for / against: 86 / 78
Corsi share: 54.1%
Fenwick share: 52.4%
xG for / against: 5.72 / 5.19

Defense pair

127:00 together · 10 games

xG share44.8%

Corsi for / against: 130 / 118
Fenwick for / against: 91 / 86
Corsi share: 52.4%
Fenwick share: 51.4%
xG for / against: 5.04 / 6.20

All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Minnesota Wild

Expected starter unavailable.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 30, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Dallas Stars

J. Oettinger

GP: 13
Starts: 13
Wins: 9
Save %: 0.906
GAA: 1.99

C. DeSmith

GP: 4
Starts: 4
Wins: 1
Save %: 0.909
GAA: 2.42

Minnesota Wild

J. Wallstedt

GP: 17
Starts: 17
Wins: 12
Save %: 0.924
GAA: 1.93

C. Pickard

GP: 3
Starts: 3
Wins: 1
Save %: 0.855
GAA: 3.60

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced: 112
Save %: 85.7
Goals allowed: 16
Close-range shots %: 33.9

Jesper Wallstedt

Minnesota Wild · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced: 130
Save %: 93.1
Goals allowed: 9
Close-range shots %: 25.4

Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 30, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game: 3.45
xG against / game: 2.68
xG differential / game: 0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Minnesota Wild

xG for / game: 3.42
xG against / game: 2.78
xG differential / game: 0.64

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 30, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game: 53.0
Corsi share (%): 51.2
Fenwick share (%): 53.3
Faceoff win %: 58.4
Penalties / game: 4.2

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Minnesota Wild

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game: 60.6
Corsi share (%): 50.6
Fenwick share (%): 52.0
Faceoff win %: 44.1
Penalties / game: 3.7

Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 30, 2027.

Dallas Stars

E. Lindell Hot · +0.88 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 1.20 points/game
0.32 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 5
Points: 6
Shots / game: 1.2

D. Perron Cold · -0.40 P/GP

3 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.00 points/game
0.40 points/game across 109 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 1.3

J. Benn Cold · -0.40 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.20 points/game
0.60 points/game across 150 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 1
Points: 1
Shots / game: 1.2

S. Steel Cold · -0.38 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.00 points/game
0.38 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 0.6

T. Myers Cold · -0.24 P/GP

5 games vs Minnesota Wild · 0.00 points/game
0.24 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 1.2

Minnesota Wild

M. Boldy Hot · +0.83 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 1.80 points/game
0.97 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals: 3
Assists: 6
Points: 9
Shots / game: 5.6

Q. Hughes Hot · +0.51 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 1.60 points/game
1.09 points/game across 156 games vs other opponents

Goals: 2
Assists: 6
Points: 8
Shots / game: 2.0

J. Spurgeon Hot · +0.44 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.80 points/game
0.36 points/game across 148 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 4
Points: 4
Shots / game: 1.2

N. Foligno Cold · -0.39 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.39 points/game across 130 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 0.4

D. Yurov Cold · -0.38 P/GP

4 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.38 points/game across 89 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 0.3

How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview

DAL	Metric	MIN
22	Points	30
0.647	Points %	0.750
49	Goals for	65
41	Goals against	44
8	Goal differential	21
W1	Current streak	W1

Road versus home

DAL road	Metric	MIN home
7	Games	7
4	Wins	5
10	Points	12
7	Goal differential	8

Last 10 games

DAL	Metric	MIN
7-2-1	Record	7-1-2
15	Points	16
33	Goals for	34
28	Goals against	19
5	Goal differential	15

History

Last 10 head-to-head games

DAL 6 wins

10 games reviewed

MIN 4 wins

Total goals33 – 22

Goal differential +11 / -11

Goals per game3.3 / 2.2

Shots per game26.9 / 29.2

Date	Matchup	Score	Shots	Details
Apr 9, 2026	Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars	4 - 5	31 - 20	View
Mar 21, 2026	Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild	1 - 2	29 - 28	View
Dec 11, 2025	Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild	2 - 5	18 - 32	View
Oct 14, 2025	Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars	2 - 5	41 - 25	View
Apr 6, 2025	Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild	2 - 3	25 - 41	View
Mar 24, 2025	Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars	0 - 3	32 - 29	View
Dec 27, 2024	Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars	3 - 2	18 - 29	View
Nov 16, 2024	Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild	2 - 1	40 - 23	View
Jan 10, 2024	Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars	2 - 7	23 - 34	View
Jan 8, 2024	Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild	4 - 0	20 - 23	View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.

Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 30, 2027

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

Dallas Stars

Minnesota Wild

Model V2 versus market

Dallas Stars

Minnesota Wild

Team performance leading into this game

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Value Picks

Market Favourite

Minnesota Wild

All Model Picks

Value Picks

Market Favourite

Forward trios & defense pairs

Dallas Stars

Minnesota Wild

Expected starters

Every recorded goalie

Dallas Stars

Minnesota Wild

Recent starting goalies

Recent expected goals

Team tendencies before this game

Hot & cold against the other team

Dallas Stars

Minnesota Wild

Want the full picture?

Season and recent form

Last 10 head-to-head games