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Dallas Stars vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 9, 2027

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 9, 2027.

January 9, 2027 · 9:00 PM MBT
Away

Dallas Stars

10-5-2

45.8%
at
Home

Los Angeles Kings

5-9-2

54.2% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Los Angeles Kings at 54.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Home team

Los Angeles Kings

54.2%
Fair American -118
Fair decimal 1.85
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 9, 2027.

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-14.3%

Value Picks

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—

Market Favourite

Bets
15
Record
9-6
Net units
-0.62
ROI
-4.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

53:27 together · 10 games

xG share53.8%
Corsi for / against
39 / 43
Fenwick for / against
29 / 23
Corsi share
47.6%
Fenwick share
55.8%
xG for / against
2.03 / 1.74
Defense pair

81:03 together · 8 games

xG share69.2%
Corsi for / against
92 / 57
Fenwick for / against
63 / 31
Corsi share
61.7%
Fenwick share
67.0%
xG for / against
4.74 / 2.11
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

101:18 together · 9 games

xG share62.2%
Corsi for / against
120 / 93
Fenwick for / against
83 / 71
Corsi share
56.3%
Fenwick share
53.9%
xG for / against
6.71 / 4.07
Defense pair

122:11 together · 10 games

xG share44.8%
Corsi for / against
86 / 112
Fenwick for / against
63 / 82
Corsi share
43.4%
Fenwick share
43.4%
xG for / against
4.56 / 5.62
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 9, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
112
Save %
85.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
33.9

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
30.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
3.44
xG against / game
3.08
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.0
Corsi share (%)
51.2
Fenwick share (%)
53.3
Faceoff win %
58.4
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.4
Corsi share (%)
49.9
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 26.9 · Shooting: 12.3% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 9, 2027.

Dallas Stars

M. Heiskanen Cold · -0.72 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.72 points/game across 138 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.5
R. Hintz Hot · +0.55 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.40 points/game
0.85 points/game across 140 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
7
Points
7
Shots / game
2.2
M. Rantanen Hot · +0.47 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.60 points/game
1.13 points/game across 158 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
4
Points
8
Shots / game
3.4
E. Lindell Hot · +0.47 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.80 points/game
0.33 points/game across 168 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
4
Points
4
Shots / game
1.0
S. Steel Hot · +0.44 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.80 points/game
0.36 points/game across 160 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
1.0

Los Angeles Kings

A. Panarin Hot · +0.92 P/GP

3 games vs Dallas Stars · 2.00 points/game
1.08 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
6
Points
6
Shots / game
3.7
D. Doughty Cold · -0.42 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.42 points/game across 112 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.4
C. Perry Hot · +0.39 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.80 points/game
0.41 points/game across 161 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
1.4
A. Turcotte Cold · -0.31 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.00 points/game
0.31 points/game across 128 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.6
A. Kempe Cold · -0.31 P/GP

5 games vs Dallas Stars · 0.60 points/game
0.91 points/game across 171 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
3.2
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
22Points12
0.647Points %0.375
49Goals for45
41Goals against55
8Goal differential-10
W1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
7Games8
4Wins2
10Points4
7Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
7-2-1Record5-5-0
15Points10
33Goals for33
28Goals against30
5Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 3 wins
Total goals38 – 18
Goal differential +20 / -20
Goals per game3.8 / 1.8
Shots per game28.0 / 28.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 12, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 1 18 - 25 View
Dec 15, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 4 28 - 26 View
Oct 23, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 2 25 - 31 View
Feb 28, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 6 31 - 31 View
Feb 7, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 5 30 - 37 View
Dec 4, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3 28 - 17 View
Mar 16, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 4 28 - 29 View
Mar 9, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 1 35 - 25 View
Jan 16, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 5 32 - 28 View
Jan 19, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 0 24 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings DAL LAK