Casey DeSmith
Dallas Stars · Last start: Mar 16
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 94
- Save %
- 87.2
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 31.9
Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 18, 2026
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 18, 2026.
March 18, 2026
· 8:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Mar 16
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 106
- Save %
- 93.4
- Goals allowed
- 7
- Close-range shots %
- 30.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.72
- xG against / game
- 2.57
- xG differential / game
- 1.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.55
- xG against / game
- 2.65
- xG differential / game
- 0.90
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.2
- Attempt share
- 54.3
- Faceoff win %
- 52.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.6
Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 15.1% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 69.8
- Attempt share
- 57.8
- Faceoff win %
- 53.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 32.4 · Shooting: 9.6% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.643 |
| 16 | Goals for | 31 |
| 13 | Goals against | 22 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
COL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 4 |
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Points | 5 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 5 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-3-1 | Record | 4-2-1 |
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 16 | Goals for | 31 |
| 13 | Goals against | 22 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
3 wins
10
games reviewed
COL
7 wins
Total goals37 – 47
Goal differential
-10
/
+10
Goals per game3.7 / 4.7
Shots per game27.7 / 34.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
5 - 4 | 29 - 21 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 4 | 22 - 39 | View |
| Mar 16, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 4 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 6 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Nov 29, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 5 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Apr 7, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
7 - 4 | 37 - 38 | View |
| Feb 27, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 5 | 34 - 27 | View |
| Jan 4, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
5 - 4 | 34 - 32 | View |
| Nov 18, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
6 - 3 | 38 - 28 | View |
| Apr 1, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 5 | 28 - 32 | View |