Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 4, 2026.

April 4, 2026 · 2:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Apr 1

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
105
Save %
86.7
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
29.5

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Apr 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
89
Save %
85.4
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
33.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.55
xG against / game
2.59
xG differential / game
0.96

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
2.69
xG against / game
3.15
xG differential / game
-0.46

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
69.2
Attempt share
59.3
Faceoff win %
51.9
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 33.0 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
49.7
Attempt share
47.3
Faceoff win %
47.5
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 22.8 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
9Points7
0.643Points %0.500
31Goals for16
22Goals against13
9Goal differential3
OT1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL home
3Games3
2Wins1
4Points2
4Goal differential0
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Dallas Stars DAL
4-2-1Record3-3-1
9Points7
31Goals for16
22Goals against13
9Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Dallas Stars DAL 4 wins
Total goals43 – 37
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game4.3 / 3.7
Shots per game34.2 / 26.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 18, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 1 18 - 34 View
Mar 6, 2026
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
5 - 4 29 - 21 View
Oct 11, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
5 - 4 22 - 39 View
Mar 16, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 4 22 - 35 View
Jan 18, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 6 29 - 36 View
Nov 29, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 5 32 - 24 View
Apr 7, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
7 - 4 37 - 38 View
Feb 27, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 5 34 - 27 View
Jan 4, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
5 - 4 34 - 32 View
Nov 18, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
6 - 3 38 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.