Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Mar 3
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 89.7
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.3
Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 6, 2026
NHL matchup
Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 6, 2026.
March 6, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Casey DeSmith
Dallas Stars · Last start: Mar 3
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 100
- Save %
- 93.0
- Goals allowed
- 7
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 2.71
- xG differential / game
- 0.65
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.70
- xG against / game
- 2.39
- xG differential / game
- 1.31
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.8
- Attempt share
- 55.1
- Faceoff win %
- 53.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 30.4 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.5
- Attempt share
- 55.1
- Faceoff win %
- 53.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 14.6% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
COL
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 0.643 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 31 | Goals for | 16 |
| 22 | Goals against | 13 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 3 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
COL road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 3 |
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 4 | Points | 2 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 0 |
Last 10 games
|
COL
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-2-1 | Record | 3-3-1 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 31 | Goals for | 16 |
| 22 | Goals against | 13 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
COL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
4 wins
Total goals45 – 40
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game4.5 / 4.0
Shots per game34.6 / 28.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 4 | 22 - 39 | View |
| Mar 16, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 4 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 6 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Nov 29, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 5 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Apr 7, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
7 - 4 | 37 - 38 | View |
| Feb 27, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 5 | 34 - 27 | View |
| Jan 4, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
5 - 4 | 34 - 32 | View |
| Nov 18, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
6 - 3 | 38 - 28 | View |
| Apr 1, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 5 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Mar 4, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 7 | 35 - 29 | View |