Skip to content

Anaheim Ducks vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 8, 2026.

December 8, 2026 · 7:00 PM MBT
Away

Anaheim Ducks

10-7-1

39.6%
at
Home

Ottawa Senators

11-6-1

60.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Ottawa Senators at 60.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Ottawa Senators logo
Home team

Ottawa Senators

60.4%
Fair American -153
Fair decimal 1.66
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 8, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets
10
Record
7-3
Net units
3.65
ROI
36.5%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
4.80
ROI
60.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
3-2
Net units
0.35
ROI
7.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:51 together · 6 games

xG share55.0%
Corsi for / against
49 / 41
Fenwick for / against
32 / 31
Corsi share
54.4%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
2.63 / 2.15
Defense pair

83:48 together · 9 games

xG share38.3%
Corsi for / against
67 / 80
Fenwick for / against
37 / 53
Corsi share
45.6%
Fenwick share
41.1%
xG for / against
2.50 / 4.02
All observed combinations

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

42:06 together · 6 games

xG share45.3%
Corsi for / against
36 / 42
Fenwick for / against
22 / 37
Corsi share
46.2%
Fenwick share
37.3%
xG for / against
1.84 / 2.22
Defense pair

115:11 together · 9 games

xG share49.0%
Corsi for / against
106 / 100
Fenwick for / against
77 / 85
Corsi share
51.5%
Fenwick share
47.5%
xG for / against
5.18 / 5.40
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 8, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Laurent Brossoit

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Nov 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
87.7
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
37.7

Samuel Ersson

Ottawa Senators · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
92.2
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
27.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game
3.01
xG against / game
3.55
xG differential / game
-0.54

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Ottawa Senators

xG for / game
3.26
xG against / game
2.91
xG differential / game
0.35

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.3
Corsi share (%)
47.8
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.0
Penalties / game
6.1

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 18.1% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.3
Corsi share (%)
52.0
Fenwick share (%)
51.4
Faceoff win %
55.2
Penalties / game
4.7

Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 12.5% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 8, 2026.

Anaheim Ducks

B. Sennecke Cold · -0.50 P/GP

3 games vs Ottawa Senators · 0.33 points/game
0.84 points/game across 97 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
3.0
R. Poehling Cold · -0.48 P/GP

4 games vs Ottawa Senators · 0.00 points/game
0.48 points/game across 144 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
A. Killorn Cold · -0.43 P/GP

5 games vs Ottawa Senators · 0.00 points/game
0.43 points/game across 177 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.2
F. Vatrano Hot · +0.35 P/GP

4 games vs Ottawa Senators · 0.75 points/game
0.40 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
2.3
P. Mintyukov Cold · -0.31 P/GP

4 games vs Ottawa Senators · 0.00 points/game
0.31 points/game across 151 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.8

Ottawa Senators

D. Batherson Hot · +0.54 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.40 points/game
0.86 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
3
Points
7
Shots / game
3.2
F. Zetterlund Cold · -0.45 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.45 points/game across 179 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.4
R. Greig Cold · -0.44 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.44 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.8
T. Stützle Cold · -0.44 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.60 points/game
1.04 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
1.2
W. Foegele Cold · -0.43 P/GP

5 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.43 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
21Points23
0.583Points %0.639
69Goals for58
66Goals against54
3Goal differential4
W5Current streakW2
Road versus home
Anaheim Ducks ANA road
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT home
10Games8
7Wins6
14Points12
5Goal differential3
Last 10 games
Anaheim Ducks ANA
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
6-3-1Record5-4-1
13Points11
45Goals for35
40Goals against34
5Goal differential1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Anaheim Ducks ANA 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Ottawa Senators OTT 5 wins
Total goals23 – 27
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game2.3 / 2.7
Shots per game26.7 / 32.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 1, 2026
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 6 22 - 33 View
Mar 14, 2026
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
0 - 2 23 - 29 View
Nov 20, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 2 25 - 25 View
Dec 11, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
1 - 5 32 - 34 View
Dec 1, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
3 - 4 31 - 34 View
Mar 6, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
1 - 2 30 - 16 View
Feb 15, 2024
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
5 - 1 20 - 34 View
Dec 12, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
0 - 3 32 - 38 View
Nov 25, 2022
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks
5 - 1 33 - 32 View
Jan 29, 2022
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
2 - 1 20 - 45 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings ANA OTT