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Vegas Golden Knights vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 23, 2027

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 23, 2027.

March 23, 2027 · 8:40 PM MBT
Away

Vegas Golden Knights

13-5-2

46.3%
at
Home

Seattle Kraken

9-6-1

53.7% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 53.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vegas Golden Knights logo
Away team

Vegas Golden Knights

46.3%
Fair American +116
Fair decimal 2.16
Calculate value
Seattle Kraken logo
Home team

Seattle Kraken

53.7%
Fair American -116
Fair decimal 1.86
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 23, 2027.

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Bets
8
Record
5-3
Net units
1.66
ROI
20.7%

Value Picks

Bets
14
Record
7-7
Net units
1.54
ROI
11.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
3-1
Net units
1.37
ROI
34.2%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights

9 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Partial coverage: 9 / 10 selected games. Results use validated games only. Games awaiting complete shift or play-by-play data are excluded, not counted as zero or replaced by older games.

Forward trio

64:14 together · 9 games

xG share43.3%
Corsi for / against
53 / 61
Fenwick for / against
37 / 40
Corsi share
46.5%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
1.93 / 2.53
Defense pair

134:36 together · 9 games

xG share62.0%
Corsi for / against
120 / 113
Fenwick for / against
92 / 76
Corsi share
51.5%
Fenwick share
54.8%
xG for / against
6.62 / 4.05
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

65:33 together · 8 games

xG share41.5%
Corsi for / against
50 / 69
Fenwick for / against
35 / 47
Corsi share
42.0%
Fenwick share
42.7%
xG for / against
2.06 / 2.90
Defense pair

148:29 together · 9 games

xG share47.5%
Corsi for / against
127 / 156
Fenwick for / against
98 / 114
Corsi share
44.9%
Fenwick share
46.2%
xG for / against
6.04 / 6.68
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Mar 23, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Vegas Golden Knights

C. Hart
GP
11
Starts
10
Wins
6
Save %
0.896
GAA
2.53
A. Hill
GP
9
Starts
9
Wins
7
Save %
0.903
GAA
2.54
C. Whitehead
GP
0
Starts
0
Wins
0
Save %
—
GAA
—
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Adin Hill

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Nov 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
90.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.4

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
121
Save %
85.1
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
27.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
2.90
xG against / game
2.93
xG differential / game
-0.03

9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.52
xG against / game
3.29
xG differential / game
-0.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.6
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
49.9
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.0
Corsi share (%)
44.6
Fenwick share (%)
44.5
Faceoff win %
52.6
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Mar 23, 2027.

Vegas Golden Knights

J. Eichel Hot · +0.81 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 2.00 points/game
1.19 points/game across 164 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
9
Points
10
Shots / game
3.2
T. Hertl Hot · +0.64 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 1.40 points/game
0.76 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
5
Points
7
Shots / game
1.6
M. Marner Cold · -0.56 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.60 points/game
1.16 points/game across 173 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
2.4
V. Olofsson Hot · +0.52 P/GP

3 games vs Seattle Kraken · 1.00 points/game
0.48 points/game across 138 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
1.0
S. Theodore Cold · -0.48 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.20 points/game
0.68 points/game across 149 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
2.2

Seattle Kraken

B. Montour Cold · -0.55 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.55 points/game across 152 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.0
M. Samoskevich Cold · -0.47 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.47 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.0
F. Gaudreau Cold · -0.45 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.45 points/game across 158 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.6
V. Dunn Hot · +0.43 P/GP

5 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 1.00 points/game
0.57 points/game across 152 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
5
Points
5
Shots / game
2.0
M. Wood Cold · -0.39 P/GP

4 games vs Vegas Golden Knights · 0.00 points/game
0.39 points/game across 89 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
28Points19
0.700Points %0.594
69Goals for57
54Goals against57
15Goal differential0
W4Current streakL1
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
10Games8
6Wins5
14Points10
5Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
5-3-2Record5-4-1
12Points11
27Goals for31
30Goals against40
-3Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 4 wins
Total goals35 – 24
Goal differential +11 / -11
Goals per game3.5 / 2.4
Shots per game29.8 / 26.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 6, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
6 - 2 28 - 27 View
Apr 15, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 4 23 - 26 View
Apr 9, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 4 34 - 33 View
Jan 31, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 2 23 - 29 View
Oct 11, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 2 27 - 22 View
Apr 10, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 2 25 - 25 View
Dec 21, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 6 23 - 34 View
Nov 8, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 4 24 - 32 View
Mar 21, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 3 22 - 37 View
Mar 12, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 4 34 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VGK SEA