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Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 3, 2027

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 3, 2027.

February 3, 2027 · 8:00 PM CST
Away

Vegas Golden Knights

8-4-1

48.4%
at
Home

Edmonton Oilers

8-2-2

51.6% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 51.6%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Vegas Golden Knights logo
Away team

Vegas Golden Knights

48.4%
Fair American +107
Fair decimal 2.07
Calculate value
Edmonton Oilers logo
Home team

Edmonton Oilers

51.6%
Fair American -107
Fair decimal 1.94
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 3, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

107:16 together · 10 games

xG share64.5%
Corsi for / against
113 / 85
Fenwick for / against
83 / 58
Corsi share
57.1%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
5.90 / 3.25
Defense pair

154:42 together · 10 games

xG share64.6%
Corsi for / against
179 / 131
Fenwick for / against
132 / 92
Corsi share
57.7%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
9.12 / 4.99
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

143:36 together · 10 games

xG share40.0%
Corsi for / against
87 / 140
Fenwick for / against
61 / 99
Corsi share
38.3%
Fenwick share
38.1%
xG for / against
3.69 / 5.54
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Carter Hart

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.0

Tristan Jarry

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Oct 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
86.3
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
27.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.32
xG against / game
2.74
xG differential / game
0.58

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.02
xG against / game
2.94
xG differential / game
0.09

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.3
Corsi share (%)
51.6
Fenwick share (%)
52.5
Faceoff win %
49.4
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 29.3 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
47.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.9
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 24.0 · Shooting: 15.4% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
17Points18
0.654Points %0.750
47Goals for52
38Goals against43
9Goal differential9
OT1Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
6Games7
3Wins3
7Points8
1Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
6-3-1Record7-2-1
13Points15
36Goals for38
30Goals against30
6Goal differential8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 6 wins
Total goals27 – 30
Goal differential -3 / +3
Goals per game2.7 / 3.0
Shots per game27.6 / 26.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 4, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
5 - 1 33 - 32 View
Mar 26, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 3 29 - 29 View
Mar 8, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 2 19 - 26 View
Dec 21, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 4 29 - 21 View
Apr 1, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 2 20 - 22 View
Dec 14, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 6 42 - 34 View
Dec 3, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
0 - 1 28 - 16 View
Nov 6, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 2 35 - 29 View
Apr 10, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 5 18 - 25 View
Feb 6, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 3 31 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings VGK EDM