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Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 4, 2026.

April 4, 2026 · 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

83:54 together · 10 games

xG share67.3%
Corsi for / against
105 / 64
Fenwick for / against
80 / 46
Corsi share
62.1%
Fenwick share
63.5%
xG for / against
6.03 / 2.94
Defense pair

143:41 together · 10 games

xG share63.6%
Corsi for / against
173 / 104
Fenwick for / against
133 / 79
Corsi share
62.5%
Fenwick share
62.7%
xG for / against
8.83 / 5.06
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

157:59 together · 10 games

xG share56.1%
Corsi for / against
122 / 140
Fenwick for / against
92 / 89
Corsi share
46.6%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
6.35 / 4.98
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Carter Hart

Vegas Golden Knights · Last start: Apr 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
74
Save %
78.4
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
28.4

Tristan Jarry

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Apr 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
106
Save %
84.9
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
34.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

xG for / game
3.46
xG against / game
2.32
xG differential / game
1.14

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.39
xG against / game
2.95
xG differential / game
0.44

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Vegas Golden Knights

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.2
Corsi share (%)
59.2
Fenwick share (%)
59.6
Faceoff win %
50.1
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 31.5 · Shooting: 8.3% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.6
Corsi share (%)
49.8
Fenwick share (%)
51.1
Faceoff win %
50.2
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 30.6 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
17Points17
0.654Points %0.773
47Goals for49
38Goals against39
9Goal differential10
OT1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Vegas Golden Knights VGK road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
6Games6
3Wins3
7Points7
1Goal differential-4
Last 10 games
Vegas Golden Knights VGK
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
6-3-1Record8-2-0
13Points16
36Goals for44
30Goals against33
6Goal differential11
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Vegas Golden Knights VGK 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 7 wins
Total goals26 – 34
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.6 / 3.4
Shots per game27.0 / 27.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 26, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 3 29 - 29 View
Mar 8, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
4 - 2 19 - 26 View
Dec 21, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 4 29 - 21 View
Apr 1, 2025
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
3 - 2 20 - 22 View
Dec 14, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
3 - 6 42 - 34 View
Dec 3, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
0 - 1 28 - 16 View
Nov 6, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 2 35 - 29 View
Apr 10, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 5 18 - 25 View
Feb 6, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights
1 - 3 31 - 26 View
Nov 28, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
4 - 5 27 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.