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St. Louis Blues vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 20, 2027

NHL matchup

St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 20, 2027.

March 20, 2027 · 9:00 PM MBT
Away

St. Louis Blues

8-8-2

53.9% Model pick
at
Home

Vancouver Canucks

3-16-1

46.1%
Model V2 pick: St. Louis Blues at 53.9%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

St. Louis Blues logo
Away team

St. Louis Blues

53.9%
Fair American -117
Fair decimal 1.86
Calculate value
Vancouver Canucks logo
Home team

Vancouver Canucks

46.1%
Fair American +117
Fair decimal 2.17
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 20, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

71:37 together · 10 games

xG share50.4%
Corsi for / against
60 / 79
Fenwick for / against
47 / 54
Corsi share
43.2%
Fenwick share
46.5%
xG for / against
2.97 / 2.92
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

57:15 together · 9 games

xG share49.5%
Corsi for / against
67 / 51
Fenwick for / against
45 / 29
Corsi share
56.8%
Fenwick share
60.8%
xG for / against
2.56 / 2.61
Defense pair

99:51 together · 10 games

xG share36.0%
Corsi for / against
79 / 94
Fenwick for / against
46 / 70
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
39.7%
xG for / against
2.67 / 4.76
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Mar 20, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
148
Save %
92.6
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
27.0

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
86.4
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
33.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
2.92
xG against / game
2.98
xG differential / game
-0.06

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.45
xG against / game
3.36
xG differential / game
-0.91

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.9
Corsi share (%)
47.6
Fenwick share (%)
47.3
Faceoff win %
50.2
Penalties / game
2.3

Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
49.2
Corsi share (%)
46.8
Fenwick share (%)
45.4
Faceoff win %
47.6
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 22.4 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Mar 20, 2027.

St. Louis Blues

P. Suter Hot · +0.83 P/GP

3 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 1.33 points/game
0.50 points/game across 160 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
2.0
L. Mailloux Hot · +0.46 P/GP

3 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 0.67 points/game
0.21 points/game across 72 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
2
Points
2
Shots / game
0.7
M. McTavish Hot · +0.40 P/GP

5 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 1.00 points/game
0.60 points/game across 162 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
3
Points
5
Shots / game
3.0
J. Barron Hot · +0.37 P/GP

5 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 0.60 points/game
0.23 points/game across 124 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
3
Points
3
Shots / game
1.0
J. Snuggerud Hot · +0.28 P/GP

3 games vs Vancouver Canucks · 1.00 points/game
0.72 points/game across 92 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
0
Points
3
Shots / game
5.0

Vancouver Canucks

L. Karlsson Cold · -0.43 P/GP

4 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.00 points/game
0.43 points/game across 118 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
B. Gallagher Cold · -0.37 P/GP

4 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.00 points/game
0.37 points/game across 172 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.3
J. DeBrusk Cold · -0.37 P/GP

5 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.20 points/game
0.57 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
0.6
M. Sasson Cold · -0.29 P/GP

3 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.00 points/game
0.29 points/game across 112 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.3
L. Ohgren Cold · -0.29 P/GP

3 games vs St. Louis Blues · 0.00 points/game
0.29 points/game across 109 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.7
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
18Points7
0.500Points %0.175
53Goals for56
55Goals against90
-2Goal differential-34
W1Current streakL6
Road versus home
St. Louis Blues STL road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
10Games9
3Wins1
7Points2
-6Goal differential-13
Last 10 games
St. Louis Blues STL
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
5-4-1Record1-9-0
11Points2
26Goals for26
27Goals against45
-1Goal differential-19
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

St. Louis Blues STL 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 3 wins
Total goals33 – 32
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.3 / 3.2
Shots per game27.9 / 26.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 21, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 1 21 - 15 View
Oct 30, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 3 18 - 39 View
Oct 13, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 2 36 - 29 View
Mar 20, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 4 18 - 29 View
Jan 27, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 2 30 - 26 View
Dec 10, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 3 25 - 25 View
Jan 24, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 3 18 - 32 View
Jan 4, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 2 26 - 32 View
Oct 27, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
0 - 5 22 - 35 View
Mar 28, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
5 - 6 37 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings STL VAN