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Philadelphia Flyers vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 8, 2026.

December 8, 2026 · 7:00 PM MBT
Away

Philadelphia Flyers

5-10-5

39.0%
at
Home

Winnipeg Jets

7-8-3

61.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Winnipeg Jets at 61.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Philadelphia Flyers logo
Away team

Philadelphia Flyers

39.0%
Fair American +156
Fair decimal 2.56
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 8, 2026.

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
6
Record
2-4
Net units
-2.59
ROI
-43.1%

Value Picks

Bets
10
Record
3-7
Net units
-2.56
ROI
-25.6%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
2-3
Net units
-1.59
ROI
-31.7%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

76:15 together · 9 games

xG share55.6%
Corsi for / against
55 / 68
Fenwick for / against
33 / 41
Corsi share
44.7%
Fenwick share
44.6%
xG for / against
2.69 / 2.14
Defense pair

106:10 together · 10 games

xG share49.9%
Corsi for / against
95 / 92
Fenwick for / against
69 / 66
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
51.1%
xG for / against
4.73 / 4.75
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

56:32 together · 10 games

xG share52.1%
Corsi for / against
54 / 58
Fenwick for / against
41 / 44
Corsi share
48.2%
Fenwick share
48.2%
xG for / against
3.16 / 2.90
Defense pair

139:31 together · 10 games

xG share58.7%
Corsi for / against
146 / 86
Fenwick for / against
112 / 65
Corsi share
62.9%
Fenwick share
63.3%
xG for / against
6.88 / 4.85
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Dec 8, 2026. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Philadelphia Flyers

D. Vladar
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
3
Save %
0.880
GAA
3.27
J. Woll
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
2
Save %
0.901
GAA
2.91
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.0

Stuart Skinner

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Nov 8

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
107
Save %
82.2
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
38.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
-0.04

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
3.27
xG against / game
3.50
xG differential / game
-0.23

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.8
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.7
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.0
Corsi share (%)
50.3
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
47.0
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 28.4 · Shooting: 9.2% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Dec 8, 2026.

Philadelphia Flyers

T. Konecny Cold · -0.65 P/GP

4 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 0.25 points/game
0.90 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.8
T. Foerster Cold · -0.52 P/GP

4 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 0.00 points/game
0.52 points/game across 125 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
2.5
N. Cates Hot · +0.52 P/GP

4 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 1.00 points/game
0.48 points/game across 176 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
1.8
S. Couturier Hot · +0.51 P/GP

4 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 1.00 points/game
0.49 points/game across 173 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
1.5
T. Zegras Cold · -0.39 P/GP

3 games vs Winnipeg Jets · 0.33 points/game
0.72 points/game across 155 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Shots / game
1.0

Winnipeg Jets

J. Morrissey Cold · -0.76 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.76 points/game across 157 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
3.0
C. Perfetti Cold · -0.58 P/GP

3 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.58 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.3
N. Pionk Cold · -0.47 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.47 points/game across 134 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.8
G. Vilardi Hot · +0.45 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.25 points/game
0.80 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
5
Points
5
Shots / game
1.3
M. Scheifele Hot · +0.37 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.50 points/game
1.13 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
2
Points
6
Shots / game
2.8
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
15Points17
0.375Points %0.472
45Goals for49
66Goals against63
-21Goal differential-14
W1Current streakW3
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
10Games9
2Wins4
6Points9
-11Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
4-4-2Record3-6-1
10Points7
31Goals for26
32Goals against39
-1Goal differential-13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 4 wins
Total goals28 – 22
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game2.8 / 2.2
Shots per game28.6 / 29.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 11, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
7 - 1 23 - 28 View
Oct 16, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 2 15 - 17 View
Mar 6, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 1 27 - 22 View
Mar 1, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 1 32 - 30 View
Feb 8, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 4 29 - 21 View
Jan 13, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 0 36 - 35 View
Jan 28, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 0 33 - 40 View
Jan 22, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 3 30 - 31 View
Apr 27, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
0 - 4 35 - 27 View
Feb 1, 2022
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 3 33 - 36 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
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