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Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 19, 2027

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 19, 2027.

January 19, 2027 · 7:00 PM MBT
Away

Philadelphia Flyers

5-10-6

38.3%
at
Home

New York Rangers

11-8-1

61.7% Model pick
Model V2 pick: New York Rangers at 61.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Philadelphia Flyers logo
Away team

Philadelphia Flyers

38.3%
Fair American +161
Fair decimal 2.61
Calculate value
New York Rangers logo
Home team

New York Rangers

61.7%
Fair American -161
Fair decimal 1.62
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 19, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

74:58 together · 9 games

xG share55.9%
Corsi for / against
55 / 65
Fenwick for / against
35 / 40
Corsi share
45.8%
Fenwick share
46.7%
xG for / against
2.83 / 2.24
Defense pair

123:30 together · 10 games

xG share51.8%
Corsi for / against
108 / 106
Fenwick for / against
79 / 79
Corsi share
50.5%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
5.67 / 5.28
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

151:16 together · 10 games

xG share59.8%
Corsi for / against
159 / 137
Fenwick for / against
112 / 102
Corsi share
53.7%
Fenwick share
52.3%
xG for / against
7.16 / 4.81
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 19, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Philadelphia Flyers

D. Vladar
GP
11
Starts
11
Wins
3
Save %
0.879
GAA
3.24
J. Woll
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
2
Save %
0.901
GAA
2.91
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dan Vladar

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Nov 11

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
108
Save %
84.3
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
33.3

Joonas Korpisalo

New York Rangers · Last start: Nov 11

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
58
Save %
93.1
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
27.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.08
xG against / game
3.15
xG differential / game
-0.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
3.23
xG against / game
2.78
xG differential / game
0.45

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.4
Corsi share (%)
52.1
Fenwick share (%)
51.0
Faceoff win %
50.7
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 29.8 ft

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.4
Corsi share (%)
50.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.4
Faceoff win %
55.1
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 27.9 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 19, 2027.

Philadelphia Flyers

T. Foerster Hot · +0.77 P/GP

4 games vs New York Rangers · 1.25 points/game
0.48 points/game across 126 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
2
Points
5
Shots / game
2.5
T. Sanheim Hot · +0.61 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 1.00 points/game
0.39 points/game across 176 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
3
Points
5
Shots / game
1.6
D. Barkey Hot · +0.43 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.80 points/game
0.38 points/game across 56 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
4
Points
4
Shots / game
0.8
N. Acciari Hot · +0.37 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 0.60 points/game
0.23 points/game across 158 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
0
Points
3
Shots / game
1.0
T. Zegras Hot · +0.30 P/GP

5 games vs New York Rangers · 1.00 points/game
0.70 points/game across 152 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
2
Points
5
Shots / game
2.0

New York Rangers

M. Zibanejad Hot · +0.97 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.80 points/game
0.83 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals
6
Assists
3
Points
9
Shots / game
2.8
J. Veleno Hot · +0.66 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.80 points/game
0.14 points/game across 133 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
0.6
S. Morrow Hot · +0.53 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.75 points/game
0.22 points/game across 45 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
2.0
T. Raddysh Hot · +0.51 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.80 points/game
0.29 points/game across 148 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
3
Points
4
Shots / game
1.4
T. Kartye Hot · +0.48 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.80 points/game
0.32 points/game across 141 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
1
Points
4
Shots / game
2.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
16Points23
0.381Points %0.575
47Goals for59
69Goals against56
-22Goal differential3
OT1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
11Games10
2Wins8
7Points16
-12Goal differential16
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
3-4-3Record5-5-0
9Points10
30Goals for31
33Goals against34
-3Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 6 wins
Total goals35 – 41
Goal differential -6 / +6
Goals per game3.5 / 4.1
Shots per game31.0 / 27.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 5, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
2 - 3 25 - 28 View
Mar 9, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
6 - 2 27 - 34 View
Feb 26, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 2 24 - 25 View
Jan 17, 2026
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
6 - 3 28 - 28 View
Dec 20, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 5 32 - 27 View
Apr 9, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
8 - 5 30 - 29 View
Jan 23, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 6 34 - 37 View
Nov 29, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 3 23 - 35 View
Apr 11, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 1 26 - 25 View
Mar 26, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers New York Rangers
5 - 6 42 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PHI NYR