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Philadelphia Flyers vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 4, 2027

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 4, 2027.

January 4, 2027 · 10:00 PM MBT
Away

Philadelphia Flyers

5-10-5

38.7%
at
Home

Los Angeles Kings

5-8-2

61.3% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Los Angeles Kings at 61.3%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Philadelphia Flyers logo
Away team

Philadelphia Flyers

38.7%
Fair American +158
Fair decimal 2.58
Calculate value
Los Angeles Kings logo
Home team

Los Angeles Kings

61.3%
Fair American -158
Fair decimal 1.63
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 4, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

76:15 together · 9 games

xG share55.6%
Corsi for / against
55 / 68
Fenwick for / against
33 / 41
Corsi share
44.7%
Fenwick share
44.6%
xG for / against
2.69 / 2.14
Defense pair

106:10 together · 10 games

xG share49.9%
Corsi for / against
95 / 92
Fenwick for / against
69 / 66
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
51.1%
xG for / against
4.73 / 4.75
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

102:12 together · 9 games

xG share60.9%
Corsi for / against
117 / 94
Fenwick for / against
84 / 72
Corsi share
55.5%
Fenwick share
53.8%
xG for / against
6.89 / 4.42
Defense pair

126:35 together · 10 games

xG share46.4%
Corsi for / against
92 / 112
Fenwick for / against
67 / 82
Corsi share
45.1%
Fenwick share
45.0%
xG for / against
4.84 / 5.59
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Jan 4, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Philadelphia Flyers

D. Vladar
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
3
Save %
0.880
GAA
3.27
J. Woll
GP
10
Starts
10
Wins
2
Save %
0.901
GAA
2.91
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Nov 9

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.0

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
141
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
37.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 4, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
3.11
xG differential / game
-0.04

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
3.43
xG against / game
3.04
xG differential / game
0.39

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 4, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.8
Corsi share (%)
50.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.7
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 29.5 ft

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
59.9
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.0
Faceoff win %
50.1
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Jan 4, 2027.

Philadelphia Flyers

R. Ristolainen Hot · +0.72 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.00 points/game
0.28 points/game across 107 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
4
Points
4
Shots / game
1.3
T. Zegras Cold · -0.54 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.20 points/game
0.74 points/game across 152 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
0
Points
1
Shots / game
1.4
C. Dvorak Cold · -0.53 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.53 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.0
S. Couturier Cold · -0.51 P/GP

3 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.51 points/game across 174 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.3
J. Drysdale Cold · -0.37 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.00 points/game
0.37 points/game across 164 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.5

Los Angeles Kings

A. Panarin Hot · +0.71 P/GP

5 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.80 points/game
1.09 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
6
Assists
3
Points
9
Shots / game
3.6
A. Laferriere Hot · +0.71 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.25 points/game
0.54 points/game across 170 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
5
Points
5
Shots / game
2.0
E. Haula Hot · +0.61 P/GP

3 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.00 points/game
0.39 points/game across 162 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.3
Q. Byfield Hot · +0.38 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 1.00 points/game
0.62 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
3
Assists
1
Points
4
Shots / game
2.3
J. Armia Cold · -0.38 P/GP

4 games vs Philadelphia Flyers · 0.00 points/game
0.38 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
0.5
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
15Points12
0.375Points %0.400
45Goals for45
66Goals against52
-21Goal differential-7
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
10Games7
2Wins2
6Points4
-11Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
4-4-2Record5-5-0
10Points10
31Goals for34
32Goals against31
-1Goal differential3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 6 wins
Total goals31 – 40
Goal differential -9 / +9
Goals per game3.1 / 4.0
Shots per game26.5 / 30.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 19, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 3 20 - 25 View
Jan 31, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 2 21 - 21 View
Dec 29, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 5 21 - 20 View
Dec 19, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
7 - 3 27 - 26 View
Nov 11, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 2 26 - 37 View
Nov 4, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 0 30 - 24 View
Jan 24, 2023
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 3 38 - 31 View
Dec 31, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 2 23 - 29 View
Jan 29, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 4 40 - 36 View
Jan 1, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 6 37 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PHI LAK