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Nashville Predators vs Edmonton Oilers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 11, 2027

NHL matchup

Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 11, 2027.

March 11, 2027 · 8:00 PM MBT
Away

Nashville Predators

5-4-5

39.3%
at
Home

Edmonton Oilers

11-2-2

60.7% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Edmonton Oilers at 60.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Nashville Predators logo
Away team

Nashville Predators

39.3%
Fair American +154
Fair decimal 2.54
Calculate value
Edmonton Oilers logo
Home team

Edmonton Oilers

60.7%
Fair American -154
Fair decimal 1.65
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 11, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

57:58 together · 9 games

xG share65.6%
Corsi for / against
74 / 41
Fenwick for / against
50 / 26
Corsi share
64.3%
Fenwick share
65.8%
xG for / against
3.53 / 1.86
Defense pair

126:21 together · 10 games

xG share60.9%
Corsi for / against
154 / 121
Fenwick for / against
110 / 89
Corsi share
56.0%
Fenwick share
55.3%
xG for / against
8.69 / 5.59
All observed combinations

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

145:17 together · 10 games

xG share43.4%
Corsi for / against
100 / 143
Fenwick for / against
71 / 98
Corsi share
41.2%
Fenwick share
42.0%
xG for / against
4.15 / 5.43
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Justus Annunen

Nashville Predators · Last start: Oct 31

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
78
Save %
84.6
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
39.7

Matt Tomkins

Edmonton Oilers · Last start: Nov 1

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
28
Save %
96.4
Goals allowed
1
Close-range shots %
28.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 11, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

xG for / game
3.26
xG against / game
3.26
xG differential / game
0.00

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Edmonton Oilers

xG for / game
3.01
xG against / game
2.90
xG differential / game
0.11

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 11, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Nashville Predators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.7
Corsi share (%)
49.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.4
Faceoff win %
52.0
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Edmonton Oilers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.3
Corsi share (%)
48.0
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
45.8
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 14.9% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
15Points24
0.536Points %0.800
42Goals for64
47Goals against44
-5Goal differential20
W1Current streakW3
Road versus home
Nashville Predators NSH road
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM home
5Games8
1Wins4
5Points10
-6Goal differential-1
Last 10 games
Nashville Predators NSH
Metric
Edmonton Oilers EDM
3-3-4Record7-2-1
10Points15
30Goals for39
36Goals against27
-6Goal differential12
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Nashville Predators NSH 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Edmonton Oilers EDM 7 wins
Total goals23 – 39
Goal differential -16 / +16
Goals per game2.3 / 3.9
Shots per game29.8 / 32.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 15, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 3 27 - 30 View
Jan 13, 2026
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 4 31 - 27 View
Jan 6, 2026
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 6 26 - 43 View
Nov 14, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
2 - 3 22 - 34 View
Oct 31, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
5 - 1 29 - 27 View
Oct 17, 2024
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
4 - 2 36 - 27 View
Jan 27, 2024
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
1 - 4 29 - 21 View
Nov 4, 2023
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
5 - 2 34 - 35 View
Oct 17, 2023
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
6 - 1 30 - 44 View
Dec 19, 2022
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
3 - 4 33 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
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