Away team
Montréal Canadiens
41.6%
Fair American
+140
Fair decimal
2.4
Montréal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 31, 2026
NHL matchup
Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 31, 2026.
March 31, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Tampa Bay Lightning
at 58.4%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Tampa Bay Lightning
58.4%
Fair American
-140
Fair decimal
1.71
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
MTL
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 106 |
| 0.646 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 283 | Goals for | 290 |
| 256 | Goals against | 231 |
| 27 | Goal differential | 59 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
MTL road
|
Metric |
TBL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 26 |
| 56 | Points | 53 |
| 17 | Goal differential | 22 |
Last 10 games
|
MTL
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-3-0 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 14 | Points | 10 |
| 28 | Goals for | 26 |
| 24 | Goals against | 30 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
MTL
3 wins
10
games reviewed
TBL
7 wins
Total goals32 – 42
Goal differential
-10
/
+10
Goals per game3.2 / 4.2
Shots per game29.3 / 27.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
4 - 5 | 36 - 22 | View |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
6 - 1 | 27 - 27 | View |
| Feb 9, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 3 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Jan 21, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 3 | 35 - 22 | View |
| Dec 29, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
5 - 2 | 37 - 23 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
7 - 4 | 35 - 30 | View |
| Mar 2, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 31 - 29 | View |
| Dec 31, 2023 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Tampa Bay Lightning
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 20 | View |
| Nov 7, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 3 | 32 - 26 | View |
| Mar 21, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 20 | View |