Montréal Canadiens vs Anaheim Ducks Prediction, Odds & Win Probability | February 27, 2027

February 27, 2027 · 7:00 PM MBT

Away

Montréal Canadiens

11-3-4

48.6%

Home

Anaheim Ducks

10-7-1

51.4% Model pick

Model V2 pick: Anaheim Ducks at 51.4%

Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Away team

Montréal Canadiens

48.6%

Fair American +106

Fair decimal 2.06

Calculate value

Home team

Anaheim Ducks

51.4%

Fair American -106

Fair decimal 1.95

Calculate value

Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 27, 2027.

Montréal Canadiens

All Model Picks

Bets: 11
Record: 8-3
Net units: 2.91
ROI: 26.5%

Value Picks

Bets: 5
Record: 3-2
Net units: 1.26
ROI: 25.2%

Market Favourite

Bets: 12
Record: 8-4
Net units: 1.91
ROI: 15.9%

Full team betting results

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Bets: 10
Record: 7-3
Net units: 3.65
ROI: 36.5%

Value Picks

Bets: 8
Record: 6-2
Net units: 4.80
ROI: 60.0%

Market Favourite

Bets: 5
Record: 3-2
Net units: 0.35
ROI: 7.1%

Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

91:57 together · 10 games

xG share60.1%

Corsi for / against: 92 / 75
Fenwick for / against: 69 / 55
Corsi share: 55.1%
Fenwick share: 55.6%
xG for / against: 4.26 / 2.83

Defense pair

126:13 together · 10 games

xG share59.4%

Corsi for / against: 157 / 115
Fenwick for / against: 112 / 84
Corsi share: 57.7%
Fenwick share: 57.1%
xG for / against: 7.47 / 5.12

All observed combinations

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:51 together · 6 games

xG share55.0%

Corsi for / against: 49 / 41
Fenwick for / against: 32 / 31
Corsi share: 54.4%
Fenwick share: 50.8%
xG for / against: 2.63 / 2.15

Defense pair

83:48 together · 9 games

xG share38.3%

Corsi for / against: 67 / 80
Fenwick for / against: 37 / 53
Corsi share: 45.6%
Fenwick share: 41.1%
xG for / against: 2.50 / 4.02

All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Anaheim Ducks

Expected starter unavailable.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Feb 27, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Montréal Canadiens

J. Fowler

GP: 11
Starts: 11
Wins: 8
Save %: 0.925
GAA: 2.14

J. Dobes

GP: 7
Starts: 7
Wins: 3
Save %: 0.847
GAA: 4.04

S. Montembeault

GP: 0
Starts: 0
Wins: 0
Save %: —
GAA: —

Anaheim Ducks

L. Dostal

GP: 10
Starts: 10
Wins: 4
Save %: 0.865
GAA: 3.76

V. Husso

GP: 6
Starts: 4
Wins: 2
Save %: 0.869
GAA: 3.55

L. Brossoit

GP: 4
Starts: 4
Wins: 4
Save %: 0.876
GAA: 3.26

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jacob Fowler

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced: 174
Save %: 92.5
Goals allowed: 13
Close-range shots %: 35.6

Laurent Brossoit

Anaheim Ducks · Last start: Nov 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced: 106
Save %: 87.7
Goals allowed: 13
Close-range shots %: 37.7

Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game: 3.28
xG against / game: 3.43
xG differential / game: -0.16

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Anaheim Ducks

xG for / game: 3.01
xG against / game: 3.55
xG differential / game: -0.54

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game: 56.5
Corsi share (%): 48.0
Fenwick share (%): 48.6
Faceoff win %: 52.6
Penalties / game: 5.0

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 13.2% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft

Anaheim Ducks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game: 53.3
Corsi share (%): 47.8
Fenwick share (%): 47.8
Faceoff win %: 49.0
Penalties / game: 6.1

Shots / game: 24.8 · Shooting: 18.1% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Feb 27, 2027.

Montréal Canadiens

Z. Bolduc Hot · +0.57 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.00 points/game
0.43 points/game across 164 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 3
Points: 4
Shots / game: 2.8

N. Dobson Hot · +0.45 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.00 points/game
0.55 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 4
Points: 4
Shots / game: 3.3

L. Hutson Hot · +0.37 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.25 points/game
0.88 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 4
Points: 5
Shots / game: 1.3

K. Guhle Cold · -0.33 P/GP

3 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 0.00 points/game
0.33 points/game across 105 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 0.0

J. Slafkovský Hot · +0.25 P/GP

4 games vs Anaheim Ducks · 1.00 points/game
0.75 points/game across 175 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 4
Points: 4
Shots / game: 2.0

Anaheim Ducks

L. Carlsson Hot · +1.53 P/GP

3 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 2.33 points/game
0.81 points/game across 161 games vs other opponents

Goals: 3
Assists: 4
Points: 7
Shots / game: 3.0

R. Poehling Hot · +0.55 P/GP

5 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 1.00 points/game
0.45 points/game across 143 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 4
Points: 5
Shots / game: 1.6

F. Vatrano Hot · +0.35 P/GP

4 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 0.75 points/game
0.40 points/game across 136 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 2
Points: 3
Shots / game: 1.8

A. Killorn Hot · +0.34 P/GP

4 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 0.75 points/game
0.41 points/game across 178 games vs other opponents

Goals: 1
Assists: 2
Points: 3
Shots / game: 1.3

A. Greer Cold · -0.33 P/GP

5 games vs Montréal Canadiens · 0.00 points/game
0.33 points/game across 165 games vs other opponents

Goals: 0
Assists: 0
Points: 0
Shots / game: 1.6

How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview

MTL	Metric	ANA
26	Points	21
0.722	Points %	0.583
62	Goals for	69
55	Goals against	66
7	Goal differential	3
OT1	Current streak	W5

Road versus home

MTL road	Metric	ANA home
8	Games	8
6	Wins	3
13	Points	7
10	Goal differential	-2

Last 10 games

MTL	Metric	ANA
7-0-3	Record	6-3-1
17	Points	13
35	Goals for	45
25	Goals against	40
10	Goal differential	5

History

Last 10 head-to-head games

MTL 3 wins

10 games reviewed

ANA 7 wins

Total goals32 – 35

Goal differential -3 / +3

Goals per game3.2 / 3.5

Shots per game27.9 / 27.3

Date	Matchup	Score	Shots	Details
Mar 15, 2026	Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens	4 - 3	28 - 30	View
Mar 6, 2026	Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks	5 - 6	28 - 33	View
Feb 2, 2025	Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks	2 - 3	23 - 22	View
Dec 9, 2024	Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens	2 - 3	29 - 21	View
Feb 13, 2024	Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens	0 - 5	13 - 38	View
Nov 22, 2023	Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks	4 - 3	28 - 33	View
Mar 3, 2023	Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks	2 - 3	28 - 33	View
Dec 15, 2022	Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens	5 - 2	32 - 25	View
Jan 27, 2022	Anaheim Ducks at Montréal Canadiens	5 - 4	24 - 40	View
Oct 31, 2021	Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks	2 - 4	18 - 26	View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.

Montréal Canadiens vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 27, 2027

Montréal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks

Montréal Canadiens

Anaheim Ducks

Model V2 versus market

Montréal Canadiens

Anaheim Ducks

Team performance leading into this game

Montréal Canadiens

All Model Picks

Value Picks

Market Favourite

Anaheim Ducks

All Model Picks

Value Picks

Market Favourite

Forward trios & defense pairs

Montréal Canadiens

Anaheim Ducks

Expected starters

Every recorded goalie

Montréal Canadiens

Anaheim Ducks

Recent starting goalies

Recent expected goals

Team tendencies before this game

Hot & cold against the other team

Montréal Canadiens

Anaheim Ducks

Want the full picture?

Season and recent form

Last 10 head-to-head games