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Los Angeles Kings vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 11, 2027

NHL matchup

Los Angeles Kings at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 11, 2027.

March 11, 2027 · 9:30 PM MBT
Away

Los Angeles Kings

5-9-2

45.9%
at
Home

Seattle Kraken

9-6-1

54.1% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 54.1%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Away team

Los Angeles Kings

45.9%
Fair American +118
Fair decimal 2.18
Calculate value
Seattle Kraken logo
Home team

Seattle Kraken

54.1%
Fair American -118
Fair decimal 1.85
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 11, 2027.

Seattle Kraken

All Model Picks

Bets
8
Record
5-3
Net units
1.66
ROI
20.7%

Value Picks

Bets
14
Record
7-7
Net units
1.54
ROI
11.0%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
3-1
Net units
1.37
ROI
34.2%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 11. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

101:18 together · 9 games

xG share62.2%
Corsi for / against
120 / 93
Fenwick for / against
83 / 71
Corsi share
56.3%
Fenwick share
53.9%
xG for / against
6.71 / 4.07
Defense pair

122:11 together · 10 games

xG share44.8%
Corsi for / against
86 / 112
Fenwick for / against
63 / 82
Corsi share
43.4%
Fenwick share
43.4%
xG for / against
4.56 / 5.62
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

65:33 together · 8 games

xG share41.5%
Corsi for / against
50 / 69
Fenwick for / against
35 / 47
Corsi share
42.0%
Fenwick share
42.7%
xG for / against
2.06 / 2.90
Defense pair

148:29 together · 9 games

xG share47.5%
Corsi for / against
127 / 156
Fenwick for / against
98 / 114
Corsi share
44.9%
Fenwick share
46.2%
xG for / against
6.04 / 6.68
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Season goaltending

Every recorded goalie

Regular-season records for each team in 2026–27, before Mar 11, 2027. Includes recorded backups. Games played require ice time; stats cover only games with this team.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Nov 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
92.0
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
30.4

Joey Daccord

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Nov 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
121
Save %
85.1
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
27.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 11, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
3.44
xG against / game
3.08
xG differential / game
0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.52
xG against / game
3.29
xG differential / game
-0.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 11, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.4
Corsi share (%)
49.9
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
50.6
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 26.9 · Shooting: 12.3% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.0
Corsi share (%)
44.6
Fenwick share (%)
44.5
Faceoff win %
52.6
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Skaters versus this opponent

Hot & cold against the other team

Up to five skaters per team, ranked by the largest change in points per game against this opponent versus other opponents. Uses the last five meetings per player within this season and the previous two seasons, before Mar 11, 2027.

Los Angeles Kings

S. Laughton Hot · +0.66 P/GP

3 games vs Seattle Kraken · 1.00 points/game
0.34 points/game across 157 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Shots / game
1.3
E. Haula Cold · -0.41 P/GP

4 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.00 points/game
0.41 points/game across 162 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
3.0
A. Turcotte Hot · +0.31 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.60 points/game
0.29 points/game across 129 games vs other opponents

Goals
1
Assists
2
Points
3
Shots / game
1.2
A. Panarin Cold · -0.31 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.80 points/game
1.11 points/game across 169 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
4
Points
4
Shots / game
1.6
M. Anderson Cold · -0.29 P/GP

5 games vs Seattle Kraken · 0.00 points/game
0.29 points/game across 167 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Shots / game
1.2

Seattle Kraken

B. McMann Hot · +0.51 P/GP

4 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.00 points/game
0.49 points/game across 164 games vs other opponents

Goals
4
Assists
0
Points
4
Shots / game
2.8
M. Beniers Hot · +0.45 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.00 points/game
0.55 points/game across 172 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
3
Points
5
Shots / game
2.8
V. Dunn Hot · +0.42 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.00 points/game
0.58 points/game across 153 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
3
Points
5
Shots / game
3.0
F. Gaudreau Hot · +0.38 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 0.80 points/game
0.42 points/game across 159 games vs other opponents

Goals
2
Assists
2
Points
4
Shots / game
1.2
C. Stephenson Hot · +0.36 P/GP

5 games vs Los Angeles Kings · 1.00 points/game
0.64 points/game across 166 games vs other opponents

Goals
0
Assists
5
Points
5
Shots / game
1.0
How hot and cold are measuredSample requirements, player selection and limitations

Hot means a higher points-per-game rate against this opponent; cold means a lower rate. The comparison uses other opponents over the same three-season window. Only players whose most recent recorded team this season matches this matchup are considered; this does not confirm tonight's lineup. History includes appearances for former teams. Players with no meaningful rate difference are omitted from the highlights; the full breakdown includes them. These small, unadjusted historical samples describe past production, not a forecast or a statistically established matchup advantage.

Want the full picture?

See every recorded skater from both teams, including players with limited opponent history.

View all players vs opponent →
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
12Points19
0.375Points %0.594
45Goals for57
55Goals against57
-10Goal differential0
L2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Los Angeles Kings LAK road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
8Games8
3Wins5
8Points10
-2Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Los Angeles Kings LAK
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
5-5-0Record5-4-1
10Points11
33Goals for31
30Goals against40
3Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Los Angeles Kings LAK 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 6 wins
Total goals28 – 29
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game2.8 / 2.9
Shots per game29.4 / 27.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 13, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
5 - 3 30 - 31 View
Feb 4, 2026
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 2 23 - 27 View
Dec 23, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 2 28 - 37 View
Dec 10, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 3 26 - 33 View
Apr 15, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
6 - 5 24 - 34 View
Apr 7, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1 28 - 29 View
Jan 18, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 4 30 - 22 View
Nov 23, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 2 20 - 21 View
Apr 3, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 5 23 - 27 View
Dec 20, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1 30 - 43 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings LAK SEA